Virnetx Holding Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VHC Stock  USD 5.54  0.11  2.03%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding VirnetX Holding Corp is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides VirnetX Holding buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VHC positions.
  
Check out VirnetX Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as VirnetX and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards VirnetX Holding Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute VirnetX Holding Buy or Sell Advice

The VirnetX recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on VirnetX Holding Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in VirnetX Holding Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute VirnetX Holding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell VirnetX HoldingBuy VirnetX Holding
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon VirnetX Holding Corp has a Mean Deviation of 1.96, Standard Deviation of 2.66 and Variance of 7.1
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on VirnetX Holding. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure VirnetX Holding Corp is not overpriced, please validate all VirnetX Holding fundamentals, including its net income, earnings per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and market capitalization . Given that VirnetX Holding Corp has a price to book of 0.44 X, we advise you to double-check VirnetX Holding Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

VirnetX Holding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

VirnetX Holding Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VirnetX Holding Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 7 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.87 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 35 K.
VirnetX Holding Corp has about 86.56 M in cash with (24.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.26.
Roughly 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: VirnetX Announces Strategic Update Webcast CEO to Unveil 2025 Vision VHC Stock News - StockTitan

VirnetX Holding Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of VirnetX Holding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of VirnetX Holding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of VirnetX Holding daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use VirnetX Holding Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of VirnetX Holding returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for VirnetX Holding.
Mean Return
-0.36
Value At Risk
-5.71
Potential Upside
3.88
Standard Deviation
2.66
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of VirnetX Holding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

VirnetX Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
International Assets Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
6.2 K
Td Waterhouse Canada Inc2024-06-30
2.3 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
1.4 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
932
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-06-30
537
Group One Trading, Lp2024-06-30
411
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
398
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
206
Nbc Securities Inc2024-09-30
202
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
167.5 K
Williams Jones Wealth Management, Llc2024-09-30
84.2 K
Note, although VirnetX Holding's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

VirnetX Holding Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(4.5M)189.8M(50.9M)(55.5M)(60.3M)(57.3M)
Free Cash Flow(15.1M)281.4M(51.7M)(16.9M)(24.8M)(23.6M)
Depreciation18K7K5K4K9K8.6K
Other Non Cash Items3.4M69K34K3.3M15K14.3K
Net Income(19.2M)280.4M(39.6M)(36.3M)(27.9M)(26.5M)
Investments(592K)(26.0M)1.0M(38.5M)18.3M19.2M
Change To Netincome4.1M3.7M(5.1M)(2.7M)(2.4M)(2.3M)

VirnetX Holding Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to VirnetX Holding or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that VirnetX Holding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a VirnetX stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
2.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

VirnetX Holding Volatility Alert

VirnetX Holding Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.74 and kurtosis of 1.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure VirnetX Holding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact VirnetX Holding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

VirnetX Holding Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing VirnetX Holding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze VirnetX Holding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between VirnetX Holding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as VirnetX Holding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of VirnetX Holding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VirnetX Holding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare VirnetX Holding to competition
FundamentalsVirnetX HoldingPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.35-0.31
Return On Asset-0.23-0.14
Current Valuation(23.8 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.73 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders13.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.85 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted159.08 K4.71 M
Price To Earning0.33 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.44 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3,375 X11.42 X
Revenue7 K9.43 B
Gross Profit35 K27.38 B
EBITDA(31.44 M)3.9 B
Net Income(27.87 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents86.56 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.26 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.4 M5.32 B
Current Ratio219.77 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.48 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(24.77 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio22.40 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(5.32) X3.12 X
Target Price2.88
Number Of Employees2718.84 K
Beta1.0-0.15
Market Capitalization17.86 M19.03 B
Total Asset60.41 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(186.5 M)9.33 B
Working Capital52.58 M1.48 B
Current Asset19.36 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities5.58 M7.9 B
Net Asset60.41 M
Note: Acquisition by Kendall Larsen of 50000 shares of VirnetX Holding subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

VirnetX Holding Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as VirnetX . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About VirnetX Holding Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell VirnetX Holding Corp? Buying financial instruments such as VirnetX Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having VirnetX Holding in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Corona Opportunity
Corona Opportunity Theme
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When determining whether VirnetX Holding Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VirnetX Holding's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Virnetx Holding Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Virnetx Holding Corp Stock:
Check out VirnetX Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VirnetX Holding. If investors know VirnetX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VirnetX Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.32)
Revenue Per Share
0.002
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.50)
Return On Assets
(0.23)
Return On Equity
(0.35)
The market value of VirnetX Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VirnetX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VirnetX Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VirnetX Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VirnetX Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VirnetX Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VirnetX Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VirnetX Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VirnetX Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.