Twilio Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TWLO Stock | USD 115.27 2.75 2.33% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Twilio Inc is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Twilio's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Twilio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Twilio and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Twilio Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Twilio |
Execute Twilio Buy or Sell Advice
The Twilio recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Twilio Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Twilio Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Twilio's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Twilio Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Twilio Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (109.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.28 B. | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Twilio Inc Shares Down 2.71 percent on Feb 25 |
Twilio Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Twilio's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Twilio's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Twilio daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Twilio Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Twilio returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Twilio.
| Mean Return | 0.34 | Value At Risk | -3.13 | Potential Upside | 3.69 | Standard Deviation | 3.70 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Twilio historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Twilio Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Twilio, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Twilio Inc back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Generation Investment Management Llp | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Amazon.com Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.6 M | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 15.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 10.1 M |
Twilio Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 30.5M | (16.8M) | (40.0M) | (123.0M) | (110.7M) | (105.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 680.2M | 547.9M | (825.8M) | (147K) | (224.5M) | (213.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (26.5M) | (148.2M) | (334.6M) | 363.5M | 716.2M | 752.1M | |
| Depreciation | 149.7M | 258.4M | 279.1M | 284.4M | 183.0M | 121.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 126.9M | 203.4M | 320.7M | 700.6M | 26.0M | 24.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 67.3M | 59.1M | 90.0M | 80.2M | 51.2M | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (491.0M) | (949.9M) | (1.3B) | (1.0B) | (109.4M) | (114.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 933.9M | 1.5B | 656.1M | 655.9M | 431.4M | 507.4M | |
| Investments | (453.1M) | (1.9B) | (616.5M) | 431.4M | 388.3M | 407.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 272.0M | 386.6M | 772.2M | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Net Borrowings | (11.0M) | (10.8M) | 979.2M | (13.4M) | (12.1M) | (11.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (58.2M) | (51.4M) | (81.3M) | (117.9M) | (106.1M) | (100.8M) |
Twilio Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Twilio or IT Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Twilio's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Twilio stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Twilio Volatility Alert
Twilio Inc shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Twilio's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Twilio's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Twilio Implied Volatility
Twilio's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Twilio Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Twilio's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Twilio stock will not fluctuate a lot when Twilio's options are near their expiration.
Twilio Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Twilio's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Twilio's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Twilio and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Twilio or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Twilio's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Twilio by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Twilio to competition |
| Fundamentals | Twilio | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0124 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0024 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 16.26 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 153.38 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.85 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.47 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (62.00) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.20 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.06 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.46 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.28 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (53.71 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (109.4 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.21 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 22.83 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.18 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.12 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.74 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 51.81 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 716.24 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.94 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.66) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 44.96 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 144.03 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.54 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.43 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 18.1 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 11.61 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (5.07 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.17 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Stafman Andrew of 749 shares of Twilio subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Twilio Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Twilio . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 200576.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.41) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 115.12 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 115.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.75) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 71.91 |
About Twilio Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Twilio Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Twilio Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Twilio in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Government Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by national government to finance government spending or to facilitate Federal Reserve monetary policies. The Government Funds theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Government Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Twilio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twilio. If investors know Twilio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twilio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.66) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Twilio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twilio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twilio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twilio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twilio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twilio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twilio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Twilio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twilio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.