Twin Disc Incorporated Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TWIN Stock | USD 7.80 0.29 3.86% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Twin Disc Incorporated is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Twin Disc's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Twin Disc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Twin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Twin Disc Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Twin |
Execute Twin Disc Buy or Sell Advice
The Twin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Twin Disc Incorporated. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Twin Disc Incorporated or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Twin Disc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Twin Disc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Twin Disc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Twin Disc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Twin Disc Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Twin Disc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Twin Disc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Twin Disc daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Twin Disc Incorporated price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Twin Disc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Twin Disc.
| Mean Return | -0.68 | Value At Risk | -5.18 | Potential Upside | 3.62 | Standard Deviation | 2.99 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Twin Disc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Twin Disc Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Twin Disc or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Twin Disc's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Twin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Twin Disc Volatility Alert
Twin Disc Incorporated exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 2.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Twin Disc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Twin Disc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Twin Disc Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Twin Disc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Twin Disc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Twin Disc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Twin Disc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Twin Disc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Twin Disc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Twin Disc to competition |
| Fundamentals | Twin Disc | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0641 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0257 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 134.64 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 14.1 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 21.59 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 66.30 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 95.25 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 91.39 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.74 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.33 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 295.13 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 74.33 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 27.05 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 10.99 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 12.52 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.91 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 48.22 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.41 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.52 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.17 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 33.72 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 9.54 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.68 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 252.00 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 15.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 910 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.61 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 156.13 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 312.06 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 129.59 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 120.11 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Larimer Juliann of 1000 shares of Twin Disc at 7.84 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Twin Disc Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Twin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Twin Disc Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Twin Disc Incorporated? Buying financial instruments such as Twin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Twin Disc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twin Disc. If investors know Twin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twin Disc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Twin Disc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twin Disc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twin Disc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twin Disc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twin Disc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twin Disc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Twin Disc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twin Disc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.