Tootsie Roll Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TR Stock  USD 31.97  0.78  2.50%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Tootsie Roll Industries is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Tootsie Roll Industries within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Tootsie Roll Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tootsie and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Tootsie Roll Industries. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Tootsie Roll Buy or Sell Advice

The Tootsie recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tootsie Roll Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tootsie Roll Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tootsie Roll's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Tootsie RollBuy Tootsie Roll
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Tootsie Roll Industries has a Mean Deviation of 1.13, Standard Deviation of 1.51 and Variance of 2.27
Our recommendation module can be used to complement Tootsie Roll Industries trade recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Tootsie Roll Industries is not overpriced, please validate all Tootsie Roll fundamentals, including its gross profit, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and working capital . Given that Tootsie Roll Industries has a price to earning of 51.08 X, we advise you to double-check Tootsie Roll Industries market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Tootsie Roll Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Tootsie Roll generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Tootsie Roll Industries declares 0.09 dividend

Tootsie Roll Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tootsie Roll's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tootsie Roll's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tootsie Roll daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tootsie Roll Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tootsie Roll returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tootsie Roll.
Mean Return
-0.001
Value At Risk
-2.49
Potential Upside
2.38
Standard Deviation
1.51
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tootsie Roll historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tootsie Stock Institutional Investors

The Tootsie Roll's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Tootsie Roll's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts
160.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
156.7 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
142 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
140.2 K
Qube Research & Technologies2024-12-31
130.4 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
110.9 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
105.3 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
103.3 K
Gabelli Funds Llc2024-12-31
102.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
1.8 M
Note, although Tootsie Roll's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Tootsie Roll Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(770K)3.9M(28.4M)(9.6M)(8.6M)(8.2M)
Change In Cash27.9M(61.0M)(52.6M)22.7M26.1M27.4M
Free Cash Flow56.7M53.9M48.7M67.8M78.0M57.6M
Depreciation18.2M17.6M17.7M18.2M21.0M16.3M
Other Non Cash Items17.1M3.2M6.6M3.9M4.5M2.5M
Dividends Paid23.8M24.1M24.6M25.1M28.8M17.2M
Capital Expenditures18.0M31.4M23.4M26.8M30.8M20.6M
Net Income59.0M65.3M75.9M91.9M105.7M62.4M
End Period Cash Flow167.3M106.2M53.6M76.3M87.7M75.4M
Change To Netincome3.2M(279K)2.6M1.5M1.4M2.5M
Investments(10.9M)(63.0M)(46.5M)(15.4M)(13.9M)(14.5M)
Change Receivables4.8M4.1M(14.8M)(4.1M)(3.7M)(3.5M)
Net Borrowings389K19K174K139K159.9K167.8K

Tootsie Roll Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tootsie Roll or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tootsie Roll's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tootsie stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Tootsie Roll Volatility Alert

Tootsie Roll Industries exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.71 and kurtosis of 1.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tootsie Roll's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tootsie Roll's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Tootsie Roll Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tootsie Roll's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tootsie Roll's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tootsie Roll and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tootsie Roll or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tootsie Roll's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tootsie Roll by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tootsie Roll to competition
FundamentalsTootsie RollPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0634-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.18 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.97 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding41.15 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders65.25 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions27.63 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.43 M4.71 M
Price To Earning51.08 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.56 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.96 X11.42 X
Revenue769.37 M9.43 B
Gross Profit246.31 M27.38 B
EBITDA138.47 M3.9 B
Net Income91.91 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents53.27 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.78 X5.01 X
Total Debt15.89 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.40 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations94.61 M971.22 M
Short Ratio13.84 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.22 X3.12 X
Target Price19.0
Number Of Employees2.3 K18.84 K
Beta0.22-0.15
Market Capitalization2.15 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.08 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings62.95 M9.33 B
Working Capital245.76 M1.48 B
Current Asset293.81 M9.34 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Tootsie Roll Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tootsie . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tootsie Roll Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tootsie Roll Industries? Buying financial instruments such as Tootsie Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Tootsie Roll in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Municipals ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Tootsie Stock Analysis

When running Tootsie Roll's price analysis, check to measure Tootsie Roll's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tootsie Roll is operating at the current time. Most of Tootsie Roll's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tootsie Roll's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tootsie Roll's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tootsie Roll to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.