Tilray Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
TLRY Stock | USD 0.81 0.03 3.93% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tilray Inc is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Tilray Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Tilray Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Tilray Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tilray and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Tilray Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Tilray |
Execute Tilray Buy or Sell Advice
The Tilray recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tilray Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tilray Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tilray's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
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Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Tilray Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Tilray Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Tilray Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Tilray Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Tilray Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 788.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (222.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 256.65 M. | |
Tilray Inc currently holds about 490.64 M in cash with (30.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.8. | |
Tilray Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Latest headline from zacks.com: Tilray Brands, Inc. Declines More Than Market Some Information for Investors |
Tilray Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Tilray's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tilray's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tilray daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tilray Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tilray returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tilray.
Mean Return | -0.62 | Value At Risk | -6.45 | Potential Upside | 8.65 | Standard Deviation | 4.49 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tilray historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Tilray Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Tilray, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tilray Inc back and forth among themselves.
Shares | 1 North Wealth Services Llc | 2024-12-31 | 0.0 |
Tilray Cash Flow Accounts
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | 127.8M | (72.6M) | (209.3M) | 21.7M | 19.5M | 15.7M | |
Free Cash Flow | (83.6M) | (211.3M) | (12.9M) | (60.2M) | (54.1M) | (56.8M) | |
Capital Expenditures | 38.9M | 34.1M | 20.8M | 29.2M | 33.6M | 54.5M | |
Net Income | (336.0M) | (434.1M) | (1.4B) | (222.4M) | (200.2M) | (210.2M) | |
End Period Cash Flow | 488.5M | 415.9M | 206.6M | 228.3M | 262.6M | 204.3M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 281.9M | 185.6M | 1.3B | 112.3M | 129.2M | 178.6M | |
Change To Inventory | (35.3M) | (45.7M) | (12.9M) | (15.6M) | (14.0M) | (14.7M) | |
Depreciation | 67.8M | 154.6M | 130.1M | 126.9M | 145.9M | 153.2M |
Tilray Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tilray or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tilray's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tilray stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Tilray Volatility Alert
Tilray Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.71 and kurtosis of 1.49. Tilray Inc is a potential penny stock. Although Tilray may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Tilray Inc. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Tilray instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Tilray Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Tilray's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tilray's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tilray and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tilray or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tilray's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tilray by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Tilray to competition |
Fundamentals | Tilray | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | -0.0702 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | -0.0145 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | (0.30) % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | (0.15) % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 906.17 M | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 933.97 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.66 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 11.73 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 122.61 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 9.44 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 0.23 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 0.95 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 788.94 M | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 256.65 M | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | (72.84 M) | 3.9 B |
Net Income | (222.4 M) | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 490.64 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 0.80 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 387.32 M | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 3.33 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 3.75 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | (30.91 M) | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 2.85 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | (0.30) X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.56) X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 1.82 | |
Number Of Employees | 2.65 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.99 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 784.63 M | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 4.22 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | (2.66 B) | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 378.54 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 1935 shares by Butts Jodi L. of Tilray at 1.66 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Tilray Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tilray . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Tilray Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Tilray Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Tilray Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Tilray in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Agriculture ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Agriculture ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Agriculture ETFs theme has 12 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Agriculture ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Tilray Stock Analysis
When running Tilray's price analysis, check to measure Tilray's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tilray is operating at the current time. Most of Tilray's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tilray's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tilray's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tilray to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.