Triple Flag Precious Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TFPM Stock   27.18  0.19  0.70%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Triple Flag Precious is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Triple Flag's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Triple Flag Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Triple and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Triple Flag Precious. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Triple Flag Buy or Sell Advice

The Triple recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Triple Flag Precious. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Triple Flag Precious or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Triple Flag's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Triple FlagBuy Triple Flag
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Triple Flag Precious has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1168, Jensen Alpha of 0.2612, Total Risk Alpha of 0.4647, Sortino Ratio of 0.1854 and Treynor Ratio of 0.8007
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Triple Flag Precious. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Triple Flag Precious is not overpriced, please validate all Triple Flag fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, number of shares shorted, price to sales, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to book .

Triple Flag Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Triple Flag stock soars to all-time high of 18.98 amid bullish run - Investing.com India

Triple Flag Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Triple Flag's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Triple Flag's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Triple Flag daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Triple Flag Precious price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Triple Flag returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Triple Flag.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-2.74
Potential Upside
3.33
Standard Deviation
1.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Triple Flag historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Triple Flag Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash9.9M20.0M30.4M(53.7M)(48.3M)(45.9M)
Free Cash Flow(645.3M)68.8M66.1M(36.8M)(42.3M)(44.4M)
Other Non Cash Items10.4M65.6M(13.5M)115.7M133.1M139.7M
Capital Expenditures729.7M51.3M52.3M190.9M171.8M226.3M
Net Income55.6M45.5M123.8M36.3M41.7M25.1M
End Period Cash Flow20.6M40.7M71.1M17.4M20.0M24.0M
Change To Inventory228K(293K)293K(363K)(417.5K)(396.6K)
Investments(651.7M)(48.1M)(48.9M)(213.0M)(191.7M)(201.3M)
Net Borrowings(62.2M)217.8M(275.3M)(359K)(323.1K)(306.9K)
Change To Netincome11.6M(19.9M)19.6M9.6M11.1M11.6M

Triple Flag Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Triple Flag or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Triple Flag's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Triple stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Triple Flag Volatility Alert

Triple Flag Precious has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.03 and kurtosis of 0.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Triple Flag's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Triple Flag's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Triple Flag Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Triple Flag's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Triple Flag's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Triple Flag and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Triple Flag or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Triple Flag's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triple Flag by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Triple Flag to competition
FundamentalsTriple FlagPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.013-0.31
Return On Asset0.0075-0.14
Profit Margin(0.09) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.55 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.41 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding200.89 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted367.78 K4.71 M
Price To Book2.19 X9.51 X
Price To Sales20.30 X11.42 X
Revenue204.02 M9.43 B
Gross Profit230.76 M27.38 B
EBITDA136.05 M3.9 B
Net Income36.28 M570.98 M
Total Debt59.15 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share8.63 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations154.14 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.89 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.16) X3.12 X
Target Price29.74
Beta-0.16-0.15
Market Capitalization5.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.89 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings46.83 M9.33 B
Working Capital39.72 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset1.89 B
Last Dividend Paid0.22

Triple Flag Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Triple . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Triple Flag Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Triple Flag Precious? Buying financial instruments such as Triple Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Triple Flag in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Rentals Thematic Idea Now

Rentals
Rentals Theme
Companies providing rental and leasing services to public and business. The Rentals theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Rentals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Triple Flag Precious is a strong investment it is important to analyze Triple Flag's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Triple Flag's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Triple Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Triple Flag Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triple Flag's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triple Flag is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triple Flag's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.