Trip Group Ltd Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TCOM Stock  USD 62.03  1.23  2.02%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Trip Group Ltd is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Trip Group's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Trip Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Trip and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Trip Group Ltd. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Trip Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Trip recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Trip Group Ltd. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Trip Group Ltd or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Trip Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Trip GroupBuy Trip Group
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Trip Group Ltd has a Mean Deviation of 2.28, Standard Deviation of 3.1 and Variance of 9.58
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendation on Trip Group that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Trip Group Ltd. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Trip Group is not overpriced, please validate all Trip Group fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Trip Group has a price to earning of 94.19 X, we advise you to double-check Trip Group Ltd market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Trip Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Trip Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trip Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Baidu Announces Proposed Offering of Exchangeable Bonds

Trip Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Trip Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Trip Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Trip Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Trip Group Ltd price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Trip Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Trip Group.
Mean Return
-0.12
Value At Risk
-4.15
Potential Upside
4.37
Standard Deviation
3.10
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Trip Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Trip Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Trip Group, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trip Group Ltd back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Coreview Capital Management Ltd2024-12-31
3.8 M
Davis Selected Advisers2024-12-31
3.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-12-31
3.3 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
M
Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main2024-12-31
M
Hhg Plc2024-12-31
2.4 M
Ninety One Uk Limited2024-12-31
2.3 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
2.2 M
Ing Investment Management Llc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Capital World Investors2024-12-31
46.6 M
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
25.1 M
Note, although Trip Group's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Trip Group Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Capital Expenditures532M571M498M606M696.9M606.2M
End Period Cash Flow19.4B21.2B18.5B44.0B50.6B53.1B
Change To Netincome(1.4B)4.8B1.4B747M859.1M711.7M
Change In Cash(2.3B)1.8B(2.7B)25.5B29.3B30.8B
Free Cash Flow(4.4B)1.9B2.1B21.4B24.6B25.8B
Depreciation1.6B1.4B1.3B1.1B1.2B1.3B
Other Non Cash Items3.4B186M(700M)621M714.2M749.9M
Net Income(3.3B)(645M)1.4B10.0B11.5B12.1B
Change To Inventory(2.2B)(428M)1.7B(799M)(719.1M)(683.1M)
Investments(3.8B)(4.1B)1.1B5.9B6.8B7.1B
Net Borrowings(10.7B)8.0B(4.1B)(6.8B)(6.1B)(5.8B)

Trip Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Trip Group or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Trip Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Trip stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
2.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.0052

Trip Group Volatility Alert

Trip Group Ltd exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.24 and kurtosis of 2.54. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Trip Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Trip Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Trip Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Trip Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Trip Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Trip Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Trip Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Trip Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trip Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Trip Group to competition
FundamentalsTrip GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0384-0.14
Profit Margin0.32 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.18 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation34.86 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding651.11 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions42.47 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted12.26 M4.71 M
Price To Earning94.19 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.06 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.76 X11.42 X
Revenue44.51 B9.43 B
Gross Profit43.3 B27.38 B
EBITDA12.14 B3.9 B
Net Income10 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents53.68 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share82.86 X5.01 X
Total Debt45.57 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.49 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.12 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share217.24 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations22 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.75 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.42 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.63 X4.89 X
Target Price73.9
Beta0.38-0.15
Market Capitalization40.39 B19.03 B
Total Asset219.14 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings28.81 B9.33 B
Working Capital16.32 B1.48 B
Net Asset219.14 B

Trip Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Trip . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Trip Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Trip Group Ltd? Buying financial instruments such as Trip Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Obamacare
Obamacare Theme
Health care services and providers including hospitals, clinics and nursing homes that hope to benefit from Obamacare program. The Obamacare theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Obamacare Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Trip Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Trip Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Trip Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Trip Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trip Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trip Group. If investors know Trip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trip Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.593
Earnings Share
3.42
Revenue Per Share
81.485
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.234
Return On Assets
0.0384
The market value of Trip Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trip Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trip Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trip Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trip Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trip Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trip Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trip Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.