Stoneco Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

STNE Stock  USD 9.72  0.50  5.42%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding StoneCo is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides StoneCo buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding StoneCo positions.
  
Check out StoneCo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade StoneCo Stock refer to our How to Trade StoneCo Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as StoneCo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. StoneCo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute StoneCo Buy or Sell Advice

The StoneCo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on StoneCo. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in StoneCo or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute StoneCo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell StoneCoBuy StoneCo
Strong Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon StoneCo has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0474, Jensen Alpha of 0.2364, Total Risk Alpha of 0.4519, Sortino Ratio of 0.0881 and Treynor Ratio of 0.104
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on StoneCo. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure StoneCo is not overpriced, please validate all StoneCo fundamentals, including its debt to equity, beta, and the relationship between the net income and short ratio . Given that StoneCo has a number of shares shorted of 28.34 M, we advise you to double-check StoneCo market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

StoneCo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

StoneCo is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Monaco Asset Management SAM Purchases New Shares in StoneCo Ltd.

StoneCo Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of StoneCo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of StoneCo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of StoneCo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use StoneCo price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of StoneCo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for StoneCo.
Mean Return
0.13
Value At Risk
-3.79
Potential Upside
5.42
Standard Deviation
2.69
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of StoneCo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

StoneCo Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
3.3 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
3.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
M
Sharp Capital Gestora De Recursos Ltda.2024-12-31
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
2.9 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
2.8 M
Nucleo Capital2024-12-31
2.5 M
Azora Capital Lp2024-12-31
2.2 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
1.9 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
32.1 M
Madrone Advisors Llc2024-12-31
25.3 M
Note, although StoneCo's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

StoneCo Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory210.1M286.8M4.0B(2.9B)(2.6B)(2.5B)
Investments(5.8B)3.1B(1.9B)(845.4M)(760.9M)(798.9M)
Change In Cash1.5B2.0B(3.0B)663.8M597.4M627.3M
Net Borrowings3.8B(769.1M)2.2B(2.9B)(2.6B)(2.4B)
Free Cash Flow(398.6M)2.3B960.4M437.4M503.0M528.2M
Depreciation256.3M507.4M800.3M878.2M1.0B1.1B
Other Non Cash Items629.8M3.3B2.5B2.3B2.6B1.4B
Capital Expenditures455.1M1.3B723.2M1.2B1.4B1.5B
Net Income837.4M(1.4B)(526.4M)1.6B1.8B1.9B
End Period Cash Flow2.4B4.5B1.5B2.2B2.5B1.7B
Change To Netincome992.3M734.7M3.2B2.5B2.9B3.0B

StoneCo Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to StoneCo or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that StoneCo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a StoneCo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

StoneCo Volatility Alert

StoneCo currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure StoneCo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact StoneCo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

StoneCo Implied Volatility

StoneCo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of StoneCo stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if StoneCo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that StoneCo stock will not fluctuate a lot when StoneCo's options are near their expiration.

StoneCo Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing StoneCo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze StoneCo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between StoneCo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as StoneCo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of StoneCo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing StoneCo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare StoneCo to competition
FundamentalsStoneCoPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0731-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.45 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.55 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding278.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions75.75 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted28.34 M4.71 M
Price To Earning20.65 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.09 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.23 X11.42 X
Revenue11.36 B9.43 B
Gross Profit9.03 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.54 B3.9 B
Net Income1.6 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents5.06 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share16.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.52 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.47 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share51.47 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.65 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.54 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.10 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth14.09 X4.89 X
Target Price13.63
Beta2.33-0.15
Market Capitalization2.88 B19.03 B
Total Asset48.69 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.17 B9.33 B
Working Capital8.01 B1.48 B
Net Asset48.69 B

StoneCo Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as StoneCo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About StoneCo Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell StoneCo? Buying financial instruments such as StoneCo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having StoneCo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Small Blend Funds
Small Blend Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in stocks of small to mid-sized entities that have characteristics of both growth and value companies. The Small Blend Funds theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Blend Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether StoneCo is a strong investment it is important to analyze StoneCo's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact StoneCo's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding StoneCo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out StoneCo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade StoneCo Stock refer to our How to Trade StoneCo Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of StoneCo. If investors know StoneCo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about StoneCo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.424
Earnings Share
1.1
Revenue Per Share
40.33
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.088
Return On Assets
0.0731
The market value of StoneCo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of StoneCo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of StoneCo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is StoneCo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because StoneCo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect StoneCo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between StoneCo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if StoneCo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, StoneCo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.