Surmodics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SRDX Stock  USD 28.30  0.02  0.07%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding SurModics is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell SurModics given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for SurModics, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out SurModics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy SurModics Stock please use our How to Invest in SurModics guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as SurModics and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards SurModics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute SurModics Buy or Sell Advice

The SurModics recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on SurModics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in SurModics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute SurModics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell SurModicsBuy SurModics
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon SurModics has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19), Jensen Alpha of (0.45), Total Risk Alpha of (0.23) and Treynor Ratio of (0.99)
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on SurModics. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure SurModics is not overpriced, please validate all SurModics fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that SurModics has a price to earning of 69.21 X, we advise you to double-check SurModics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

SurModics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

SurModics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 126.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 93.52 M.
SurModics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: SRDX Stock Falls Following Plan for Legal Action Against FTC Challenge

SurModics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of SurModics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of SurModics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of SurModics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use SurModics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of SurModics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for SurModics.
Mean Return
-0.5
Value At Risk
-5.79
Potential Upside
1.73
Standard Deviation
2.19
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of SurModics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

SurModics Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as SurModics, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SurModics back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
300 K
Gardner Lewis Asset Management L P2024-12-31
262.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
262.6 K
Hsbc Holdings Plc2024-12-31
254.7 K
Beryl Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
237.6 K
Disciplined Growth Investors Inc2024-12-31
229.6 K
Cnh Partners, Llc2024-12-31
206 K
Oddo Bhf Asset Management Sas2024-12-31
203.2 K
Halcyon Management Partners Lp2024-12-31
187.9 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-12-31
M
Note, although SurModics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

SurModics Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(818K)(5.1M)(3.0M)(328K)(295.2K)(310.0K)
Change In Cash368K(12.2M)22.4M(5.3M)(4.8M)(4.5M)
Free Cash Flow9.1M(20.6M)7.6M(3.2M)(2.9M)(2.8M)
Depreciation8.0M9.1M8.5M8.7M10.0M5.1M
Other Non Cash Items478K860K340K558K502.2K477.1K
Capital Expenditures6.3M3.4M2.9M3.5M3.1M5.6M
Net Income4.2M(27.3M)(1.5M)(11.5M)(10.4M)(9.9M)
End Period Cash Flow31.2M19.0M41.4M36.1M41.5M20.9M
Change To Netincome5.1M4.9M8.0M13.2M15.2M15.9M
Investments20.6M9.6M(6.8M)(2.9M)(2.6M)(2.5M)

SurModics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to SurModics or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that SurModics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SurModics stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
2.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

SurModics Volatility Alert

SurModics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.98 and kurtosis of 2.97. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure SurModics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact SurModics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

SurModics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing SurModics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze SurModics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between SurModics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as SurModics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of SurModics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SurModics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare SurModics to competition
FundamentalsSurModicsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.12-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0066-0.14
Profit Margin(0.11) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation407.46 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.97 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted430.86 K4.71 M
Price To Earning69.21 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.62 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.23 X11.42 X
Revenue126.08 M9.43 B
Gross Profit93.52 M27.38 B
EBITDA1.19 M3.9 B
Net Income(11.54 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents22.09 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt33.24 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.12 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.04 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.82 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations248 K971.22 M
Short Ratio0.92 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.02) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.90 X4.89 X
Target Price43.0
Number Of Employees38918.84 K
Beta1.19-0.15
Market Capitalization404.58 M19.03 B
Total Asset178.56 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings75.71 M9.33 B
Working Capital60.76 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2640 shares by Heine Lisa Wipperman of SurModics at 27.3 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

SurModics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SurModics . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About SurModics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell SurModics? Buying financial instruments such as SurModics Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having SurModics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Petroleum and Natural Gas Thematic Idea Now

Petroleum and Natural Gas
Petroleum and Natural Gas Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Petroleum and Natural Gas theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Petroleum and Natural Gas Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for SurModics Stock Analysis

When running SurModics' price analysis, check to measure SurModics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SurModics is operating at the current time. Most of SurModics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SurModics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SurModics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SurModics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.