Spi Energy Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SPI Stock  USD 0.31  0  1.16%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding SPI Energy Co is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of SPI Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out SPI Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as SPI and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards SPI Energy Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute SPI Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The SPI recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on SPI Energy Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in SPI Energy Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute SPI Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell SPI EnergyBuy SPI Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon SPI Energy Co has a Mean Deviation of 6.68, Semi Deviation of 7.35, Standard Deviation of 12.16, Variance of 147.98, Downside Variance of 88.17 and Semi Variance of 53.96
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on SPI Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available now. To make sure SPI Energy is not overpriced, please validate all SPI Energy fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . As SPI Energy appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to double-check its number of shares shorted numbers.

SPI Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

SPI Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SPI Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
SPI Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SPI Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
SPI Energy Co has 75.2 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.09, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. SPI Energy has a current ratio of 0.5, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for SPI to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 209.53 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (24.7 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 14.48 M.
SPI Energy Co has about 13.62 M in cash with (709 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
SPI Energy has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 20.0% of SPI Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
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SPI Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of SPI Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of SPI Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of SPI Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use SPI Energy Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of SPI Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for SPI Energy.
Mean Return
0.60
Value At Risk
-16.36
Potential Upside
12.50
Standard Deviation
12.16
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of SPI Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

SPI Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Fintrust Capital Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
3.8 K
Concord Wealth Partners2024-09-30
2.5 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
K
Tsfg, Llc2024-09-30
1000
Simplex Trading, Llc2024-09-30
644
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
383
Tucker Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
84.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-09-30
40.0
Sunbelt Securities2024-06-30
0.0
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
170.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
151.9 K
Note, although SPI Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

SPI Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.0M)(223K)(7.1M)(6.8M)(6.1M)(5.8M)
Change In Cash(1.6M)36.8M(21.9M)(6.9M)(5.0M)(5.2M)
Free Cash Flow(19.1M)(5.8M)(28.8M)(24.2M)(4.0M)(4.2M)
Depreciation2.7M4.2M9.0M6.7M7.7M8.1M
Other Non Cash Items9.6M(3.3M)4.1M2.4M2.8M2.6M
Capital Expenditures16.2M195K1.3M8.3M3.3M3.2M
Net Income(15.1M)(6.3M)(44.8M)(33.7M)(24.7M)(25.9M)
End Period Cash Flow3.0M39.8M17.8M11.0M6.5M6.2M
Change To Netincome2.9M(3.3M)8.9M3.3M3.0M2.9M
Investments(7.9M)1.4M(8.9M)(8.2M)(5.0M)(5.2M)
Net Borrowings1.9M(6.7M)3.7M2.5M2.3M2.2M

SPI Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to SPI Energy or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that SPI Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SPI stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
7.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

SPI Energy Volatility Alert

SPI Energy Co is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. SPI Energy Co is a potential penny stock. Although SPI Energy may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in SPI Energy Co. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on SPI instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

SPI Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing SPI Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze SPI Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between SPI Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as SPI Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of SPI Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SPI Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare SPI Energy to competition
FundamentalsSPI EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.25-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0365-0.14
Profit Margin(0.12) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation70.14 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding31.6 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders19.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.78 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted152.51 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(0.04) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.05 X11.42 X
Revenue209.53 M9.43 B
Gross Profit14.48 M27.38 B
EBITDA(11.46 M)3.9 B
Net Income(24.7 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents13.62 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.48 X5.01 X
Total Debt75.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.08 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.51 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(709 K)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.71 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.96) X3.12 X
Target Price1.25
Number Of Employees31618.84 K
Beta0.72-0.15
Market Capitalization10.31 M19.03 B
Total Asset231.09 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(670.81 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(107.74 M)1.48 B
Current Asset394 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Ye Dejun of 10000000 shares of SPI Energy at 1.78 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

SPI Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SPI . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About SPI Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell SPI Energy Co? Buying financial instruments such as SPI Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having SPI Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Large Blend Funds
Large Blend Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in stocks of large organizations that have characteristics of both growth and value companies. The Large Blend Funds theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Blend Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether SPI Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SPI Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Spi Energy Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Spi Energy Co Stock:
Check out SPI Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SPI Energy. If investors know SPI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SPI Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.96)
Revenue Per Share
7.228
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.307
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(1.25)
The market value of SPI Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPI Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPI Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SPI Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPI Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPI Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPI Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPI Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.