Spencers Retail (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SPENCERS   57.71  1.95  3.50%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Spencers Retail Limited is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Spencers Retail Limited within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Spencers Retail Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Spencers and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Spencers Retail Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Spencers Retail Buy or Sell Advice

The Spencers recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Spencers Retail Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Spencers Retail Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Spencers Retail's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Spencers RetailBuy Spencers Retail
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Spencers Retail Limited has a Mean Deviation of 2.48, Standard Deviation of 3.47 and Variance of 12.03
Our recommendation module provides unbiased trade recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Spencers Retail Limited. Our recommendation engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Spencers Retail is not overpriced, please validate all Spencers Retail fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, ebitda, earnings per share, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and total debt .

Spencers Retail Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Spencers Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Spencers Retail has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 23.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.66 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.73 B.
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders in Spencers Retail have lost 35, as stock drops 10 percent this past week - Simply Wall St

Spencers Retail Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Spencers Retail's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Spencers Retail's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Spencers Retail daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Spencers Retail Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Spencers Retail returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Spencers Retail.
Mean Return
-0.68
Value At Risk
-7.22
Potential Upside
5.55
Standard Deviation
3.47
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Spencers Retail historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Spencers Retail Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(250.8M)77.0M(1.2M)3.7M4.2M4.4M
Investments44.2M(162.4M)(256.1M)112.5M129.4M97.9M
Change In Cash(240.6M)(400.5M)(36.8M)182.9M210.3M220.9M
Free Cash Flow(252.7M)298.3M6M(5.5M)(6.3M)(6.6M)
Depreciation1.3B1.3B1.3B1.3B1.5B1.1B
Other Non Cash Items796.7M409.2M1.0B1.3B1.5B1.5B
Capital Expenditures228.4M247.7M261.5M356.3M409.8M323.8M
Net Income(1.6B)(1.2B)(2.1B)(2.7B)(2.4B)(2.3B)
End Period Cash Flow569.1M168.5M131.7M314.6M283.1M282.3M
Change To Netincome(194.3M)671.4M793.1M404.3M465.0M391.7M

Spencers Retail Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Spencers Retail or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Spencers Retail's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Spencers stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
3.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Spencers Retail Volatility Alert

Spencers Retail Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.71 and kurtosis of 1.94. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Spencers Retail's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Spencers Retail's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Spencers Retail Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Spencers Retail's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Spencers Retail's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Spencers Retail and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Spencers Retail or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Spencers Retail's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spencers Retail by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Spencers Retail to competition
FundamentalsSpencers RetailPeer Average
Return On Equity-2.91-0.31
Return On Asset-0.094-0.14
Profit Margin(0.12) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.02) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation19.38 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding90.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders62.02 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions8.35 %39.21 %
Price To Book10.00 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.24 X11.42 X
Revenue23.45 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.73 B27.38 B
EBITDA139.56 M3.9 B
Net Income(2.66 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents131.68 M2.7 B
Total Debt16.22 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share(60.58) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations350.83 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(28.74) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees3.31 K18.84 K
Beta0.28-0.15
Market Capitalization5.02 B19.03 B
Total Asset16.96 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(10.94 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(6.02 B)1.48 B
Net Asset16.96 B

Spencers Retail Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Spencers . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Spencers Retail Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Spencers Retail Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Spencers Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Spencers Stock Analysis

When running Spencers Retail's price analysis, check to measure Spencers Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spencers Retail is operating at the current time. Most of Spencers Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spencers Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spencers Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spencers Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.