Scotts Miracle Gro Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SMG Stock | USD 77.09 1.29 1.70% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Scotts Miracle Gro is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Scotts Miracle buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SMG positions.
Check out Scotts Miracle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Scotts and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Scotts Miracle Gro. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
Scotts |
Execute Scotts Miracle Buy or Sell Advice
The Scotts recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Scotts Miracle Gro. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Scotts Miracle Gro or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Scotts Miracle's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Scotts Miracle Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Scotts Miracle Gro had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.55 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (34.9 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 843 M. | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Scotts Miracle-Gro Full Year 2024 Earnings EPS Misses Expectations |
Scotts Miracle Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Scotts Miracle's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Scotts Miracle's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Scotts Miracle daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Scotts Miracle Gro price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Scotts Miracle returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Scotts Miracle.
| Mean Return | 0.20 | Value At Risk | -3.44 | Potential Upside | 4.22 | Standard Deviation | 3.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Scotts Miracle historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Scotts Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 815.4 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 761.1 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 708.6 K | Envestnet Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 678 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 585.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 551.2 K | Raymond James & Associates | 2024-09-30 | 550.8 K | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 527.9 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 511 K | Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 5.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.5 M |
Scotts Miracle Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (80.6M) | (496.5M) | (203.8M) | 450.5M | 293.8M | 308.5M | |
| Change In Cash | (2.2M) | 227.5M | (157.3M) | (54.9M) | 39.7M | 41.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 495.3M | 164.6M | (242.5M) | 438.2M | 583.5M | 612.7M | |
| Depreciation | 94.7M | 93.8M | 105.2M | 92.5M | 80.6M | 64.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 19.3M | (13.4M) | 680.8M | 391M | 152.4M | 160.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 62.7M | 106.9M | 113.5M | 92.8M | 84M | 95.4M | |
| Net Income | 388.6M | 513.4M | (437.5M) | (380.1M) | (34.9M) | (33.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 16.6M | 244.1M | 86.8M | 31.9M | 71.6M | 66.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 411.2M | 143M | 166.2M | 149.1M | 151.3M | 119.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | (160.3M) | 781.7M | 680.1M | (353.6M) | (406.6M) | (386.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 47.4M | 50.6M | 532.3M | 401.2M | 461.4M | 484.4M | |
| Investments | (3.4M) | (295.4M) | (25M) | (65.7M) | (59.1M) | (56.2M) |
Scotts Miracle Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Scotts Miracle or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Scotts Miracle's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Scotts stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Scotts Miracle Volatility Alert
Scotts Miracle Gro shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Scotts Miracle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Scotts Miracle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Scotts Miracle Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Scotts Miracle's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Scotts Miracle's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Scotts Miracle and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Scotts Miracle or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Scotts Miracle's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scotts Miracle by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Scotts Miracle to competition |
| Fundamentals | Scotts Miracle | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.48 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0706 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.31) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.8 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 57.41 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 25.07 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 78.18 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.8 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.67 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 18.98 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.55 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 843 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 215.8 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (34.9 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 31.9 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.65 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.23 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 9.01 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.41 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (6.87) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 667.5 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.59 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.61) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.38 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 81.71 | |
| Beta | 1.74 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.43 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.87 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 490.9 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 624.1 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 991.7 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Dimiter Todorov of 7661 shares of Scotts Miracle subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Scotts Miracle Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Scotts . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Scotts Miracle Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Scotts Miracle Gro? Buying financial instruments such as Scotts Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Scotts Miracle in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Scotts Miracle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scotts Miracle. If investors know Scotts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Scotts Miracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.961 | Dividend Share 2.64 | Earnings Share (0.61) | Revenue Per Share 62.548 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 |
The market value of Scotts Miracle Gro is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scotts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scotts Miracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scotts Miracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scotts Miracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scotts Miracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scotts Miracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scotts Miracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scotts Miracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.