Jm Smucker Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SJM Stock | USD 111.56 0.20 0.18% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding JM Smucker is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of JM Smucker's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out JM Smucker Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in SJM Stock, please use our How to Invest in JM Smucker guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as SJM and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. JM Smucker. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
SJM |
Execute JM Smucker Buy or Sell Advice
The SJM recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on JM Smucker. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in JM Smucker or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute JM Smucker's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
JM Smucker Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| JM Smucker has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 3rd of March 2025 JM Smucker paid $ 1.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investors.com: 9 SP 500 Stocks Reliably Rally 20 percent Or More During Recessions |
JM Smucker Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of JM Smucker's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of JM Smucker's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of JM Smucker daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use JM Smucker price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of JM Smucker returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for JM Smucker.
| Mean Return | -0.03 | Value At Risk | -2.83 | Potential Upside | 2.60 | Standard Deviation | 1.76 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of JM Smucker historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
SJM Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as JM Smucker, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JM Smucker back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Nordea Investment Mgmt Bank Demark A/s | 2024-12-31 | 1.4 M | Champlain Investment Partners, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 977.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 13.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 8.4 M |
JM Smucker Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (110.4M) | (178.7M) | (134.6M) | 2.9M | 2.6M | 2.7M | |
| Change In Cash | (56.8M) | (164.4M) | 485.9M | (593.8M) | (534.4M) | (507.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.3B | 718.8M | 717M | 642.9M | 739.3M | 391.7M | |
| Depreciation | 452.5M | 459.1M | 436.5M | 430.8M | 495.4M | 520.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 44.5M | 156M | 985.9M | 79.5M | 91.4M | 73.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 403.2M | 418.1M | 430.2M | 437.5M | 503.1M | 528.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 306.7M | 417.5M | 471M | 586.5M | 674.5M | 708.2M | |
| Net Income | 876.3M | 631.7M | (91.3M) | 744M | 855.6M | 898.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 334.3M | 169.9M | 655.8M | 62M | 71.3M | 67.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 102.8M | 34.6M | 140.2M | 815.6M | 937.9M | 984.8M | |
| Investments | 311.1M | (355.5M) | 262.6M | (4.0B) | (3.6B) | (3.4B) | |
| Change Receivables | (49.1M) | 22M | 7.5M | (74.8M) | (67.3M) | (64.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (287.6M) | (866.4M) | (261.8M) | (185.9M) | (167.3M) | (158.9M) |
JM Smucker Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to JM Smucker or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that JM Smucker's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SJM stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
JM Smucker Volatility Alert
JM Smucker exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.27 and kurtosis of 0.79. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure JM Smucker's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact JM Smucker's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.JM Smucker Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing JM Smucker's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze JM Smucker's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between JM Smucker and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as JM Smucker or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of JM Smucker's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JM Smucker by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare JM Smucker to competition |
| Fundamentals | JM Smucker | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0355 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0552 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.03) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.21 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 19.76 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 106.42 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.86 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 84.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.26 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 28.38 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.72 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.35 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.18 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.49 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.68 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 744 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 655.8 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.25 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 8.56 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.57 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.09 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 64.91 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.23 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.16 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.40) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.32 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 119.34 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.27 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.87 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 20.27 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.19 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.79 B) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Kirk Perry of 224 shares of JM Smucker subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
JM Smucker Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SJM . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About JM Smucker Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell JM Smucker? Buying financial instruments such as SJM Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out JM Smucker Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in SJM Stock, please use our How to Invest in JM Smucker guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JM Smucker. If investors know SJM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JM Smucker listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 4.3 | Earnings Share (2.40) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of JM Smucker is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SJM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JM Smucker's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JM Smucker's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JM Smucker's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JM Smucker's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JM Smucker's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JM Smucker is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JM Smucker's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.