Siga Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SIGA Stock  USD 5.58  0.13  2.39%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding SIGA Technologies is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides SIGA Technologies buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SIGA positions.
  
Check out SIGA Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade SIGA Stock refer to our How to Trade SIGA Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as SIGA and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards SIGA Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute SIGA Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

The SIGA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on SIGA Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in SIGA Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute SIGA Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell SIGA TechnologiesBuy SIGA Technologies
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon SIGA Technologies has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), Jensen Alpha of (0.22), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0226 and Treynor Ratio of (0.40)
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on SIGA Technologies. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available now. To make sure SIGA Technologies is not overpriced, please validate all SIGA Technologies fundamentals, including its gross profit, debt to equity, and the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that SIGA Technologies has a price to earning of 12.41 X, we advise you to double-check SIGA Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

SIGA Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

SIGA Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SIGA Technologies is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 14620 shares by Nabel Gary J. of SIGA Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3

SIGA Technologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of SIGA Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of SIGA Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of SIGA Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use SIGA Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of SIGA Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for SIGA Technologies.
Mean Return
-0.3
Value At Risk
-3.72
Potential Upside
4.39
Standard Deviation
2.65
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of SIGA Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

SIGA Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Royce & Associates, Lp2024-12-31
844.3 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-12-31
592.7 K
New York State Common Retirement Fund2024-12-31
589.6 K
General American Investors Co Inc2024-12-31
539.7 K
Legato Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
532.4 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-12-31
528.7 K
Uniplan Investment Counsel, Inc.2024-12-31
501 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
464.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
462.2 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.9 M
Altravue Capital, Llc2024-12-31
2.6 M
Note, although SIGA Technologies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

SIGA Technologies Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(43.1M)(14.8M)(4.3M)51.4M5.3M5.2M
Free Cash Flow71.5M11.4M41.6M94.8M48.7M51.2M
Other Non Cash Items9.4M501.0K(199.2K)579.2K(10.1M)(10.6M)
Capital Expenditures29.1K15.5K50.6K21.7K42.5K40.3K
Net Income56.3M69.5M33.9M68.1M59.2M62.2M
End Period Cash Flow117.9M103.1M98.8M150.1M155.4M163.2M
Depreciation529.8K522.4K517.6K538.3K538.4K445.8K
Change To Inventory(8.0M)136.4K(20.0M)(25.5M)327.4K343.7K
Change To Netincome(303.6K)18.8M1.4M(2.0M)(2.4M)(2.2M)
Change Receivables(2.2M)827.7K(80.3M)38.2M34.4M36.1M
Investments(15.5K)(50.6K)(26.2K)(21.7K)(42.5K)(40.3K)

SIGA Technologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to SIGA Technologies or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that SIGA Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SIGA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
2.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

SIGA Technologies Volatility Alert

SIGA Technologies exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.32 and kurtosis of 1.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure SIGA Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact SIGA Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

SIGA Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing SIGA Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze SIGA Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between SIGA Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as SIGA Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of SIGA Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SIGA Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare SIGA Technologies to competition
FundamentalsSIGA TechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.29-0.31
Return On Asset0.18-0.14
Profit Margin0.43 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.70 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation243.76 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding71.44 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders43.19 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions51.51 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.19 M4.71 M
Price To Earning12.41 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.85 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.87 X11.42 X
Revenue138.72 M9.43 B
Gross Profit95.12 M27.38 B
EBITDA70.52 M3.9 B
Net Income59.21 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents114.53 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.57 X5.01 X
Total Debt546.82 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio9.20 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.02 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations48.76 M971.22 M
Short Ratio8.92 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.82 X3.12 X
Target Price17.53
Number Of Employees4618.84 K
Beta0.98-0.15
Market Capitalization398.62 M19.03 B
Total Asset244.34 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(22.84 M)9.33 B
Working Capital205.71 M1.48 B
Current Asset129.8 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 14620 shares by Nabel Gary J. of SIGA Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

SIGA Technologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SIGA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About SIGA Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell SIGA Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as SIGA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having SIGA Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Machinery Thematic Idea Now

Machinery
Machinery Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Machinery theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Machinery Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether SIGA Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SIGA Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Siga Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Siga Technologies Stock:
Check out SIGA Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade SIGA Stock refer to our How to Trade SIGA Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SIGA Technologies. If investors know SIGA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SIGA Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
Earnings Share
0.82
Revenue Per Share
1.947
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.30)
Return On Assets
0.1754
The market value of SIGA Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SIGA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SIGA Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SIGA Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SIGA Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SIGA Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SIGA Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SIGA Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SIGA Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.