Steven Madden Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SHOO Stock  USD 25.30  0.38  1.48%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Steven Madden is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Steven Madden's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Steven Madden Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Steven Stock, please use our How to Invest in Steven Madden guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Steven and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Steven Madden. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Steven Madden Buy or Sell Advice

The Steven recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Steven Madden. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Steven Madden or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Steven Madden's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Steven MaddenBuy Steven Madden
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Steven Madden has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.33), Jensen Alpha of (0.73), Total Risk Alpha of (0.56) and Treynor Ratio of (0.94)
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Steven Madden. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Steven Madden is not overpriced, please validate all Steven Madden fundamentals, including its total debt, beta, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Steven Madden has a price to earning of 130.74 X, we advise you to double-check Steven Madden market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Steven Madden Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Steven Madden generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 1 Stock Under 50 to Target This Week and 2 to Turn Down

Steven Madden Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Steven Madden's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Steven Madden's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Steven Madden daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Steven Madden price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Steven Madden returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Steven Madden.
Mean Return
-0.82
Value At Risk
-4.79
Potential Upside
1.46
Standard Deviation
2.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Steven Madden historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Steven Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Steven Madden, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Steven Madden back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Systematic Financial Management Lp2024-12-31
485.1 K
Note, although Steven Madden's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Steven Madden Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(16.2M)(28.4M)55.2M(70.1M)(14.7M)(14.0M)
Free Cash Flow37.6M152.9M249.5M209.8M172.2M180.8M
Depreciation17.4M15.2M20.6M15.5M20.0M11.1M
Other Non Cash Items72.8M7.5M(8.5M)9.5M15.8M16.6M
Capital Expenditures6.6M6.6M18.4M19.5M25.9M27.2M
Net Income(18.3M)192.5M217.2M171.6M175.9M184.7M
End Period Cash Flow247.9M219.5M274.7M204.6M189.9M107.8M
Change To Inventory35.5M(153.8M)29.1M25.3M(30.6M)(29.0M)
Dividends Paid12.5M49.2M66.0M63.2M61.0M64.1M
Investments(4.9M)(4.6M)5.5M(30.7M)(39.5M)(37.5M)
Change To Netincome(5K)87.6M31.5M19.5M22.4M28.5M

Steven Madden Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Steven Madden or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Steven Madden's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Steven stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
2.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Steven Madden Volatility Alert

Steven Madden exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.02 and kurtosis of 3.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Steven Madden's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Steven Madden's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Steven Madden Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Steven Madden's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Steven Madden's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Steven Madden and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Steven Madden or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Steven Madden's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Steven Madden by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Steven Madden to competition
FundamentalsSteven MaddenPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.1 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.78 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding72.38 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.49 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions94.51 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.43 M4.71 M
Price To Earning130.74 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.80 X11.42 X
Revenue2.28 B9.43 B
Gross Profit936.93 M27.38 B
EBITDA258.01 M3.9 B
Net Income175.9 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents180.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.29 X5.01 X
Total Debt43.17 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.13 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.39 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.75 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations198.1 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.00 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.35 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.83 X4.89 X
Target Price37.44
Number Of Employees3.5 K18.84 K
Beta1.08-0.15
Market Capitalization1.83 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.41 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.79 B9.33 B
Working Capital480.97 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 933 shares by Davis Peter Allan of Steven Madden at 26.976 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Steven Madden Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Steven . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Steven Madden Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Steven Madden? Buying financial instruments such as Steven Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Steven Madden in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Size And Style ETFs
Size And Style ETFs Theme
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When determining whether Steven Madden offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Steven Madden's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Steven Madden Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Steven Madden Stock:
Check out Steven Madden Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Steven Stock, please use our How to Invest in Steven Madden guide.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Steven Madden. If investors know Steven will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Steven Madden listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Dividend Share
0.84
Earnings Share
2.35
Revenue Per Share
32.03
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.12
The market value of Steven Madden is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Steven that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Steven Madden's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Steven Madden's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Steven Madden's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Steven Madden's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Steven Madden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Steven Madden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Steven Madden's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.