Transocean Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RIG Stock  USD 3.04  0.19  6.67%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Transocean is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Transocean buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding RIG positions.
  
Check out Transocean Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Transocean Stock please use our How to Invest in Transocean guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Transocean and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Transocean. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Transocean Buy or Sell Advice

The Transocean recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Transocean. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Transocean or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Transocean's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TransoceanBuy Transocean
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Transocean has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), Jensen Alpha of (0.28), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0236 and Treynor Ratio of (0.42)
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Transocean. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Transocean is not overpriced, please validate all Transocean fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Transocean has a price to earning of (3.44) X, we advise you to double-check Transocean market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Transocean Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Transocean generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Transocean has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.52 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (512 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.35 B.
Transocean has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Transocean Ltd. The Best Stock Under 3 to Buy Now

Transocean Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Transocean's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Transocean's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Transocean daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Transocean price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Transocean returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Transocean.
Mean Return
-0.37
Value At Risk
-4.36
Potential Upside
5.16
Standard Deviation
3.23
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Transocean historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Transocean Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Gendell Jeffrey L2024-12-31
12.5 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
12.5 M
Elliott Investment Management Lp2024-12-31
11.9 M
Keybank National Association2024-12-31
11.8 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
7.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
7.2 M
Ensign Peak Advisors Inc2024-12-31
7.2 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
6.6 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
6.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
78.8 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
71.7 M
Note, although Transocean's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Transocean Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(789M)(148M)(421M)4M(54M)(51.3M)
Free Cash Flow133M367M(269M)(263M)193M183.4M
Depreciation996M962M852M796M4M3.8M
Other Non Cash Items293M125M236M497M950M836.8M
Capital Expenditures265M208M717M427M254M241.3M
Net Income(568M)(591M)(621M)(954M)(512M)(486.4M)
End Period Cash Flow1.6B1.4B991M995M941M1.5B
Change To Inventory(64M)(111M)(85M)(36M)(32.4M)(30.8M)
Investments(14M)(34M)(757M)(627M)(151M)(158.6M)
Net Borrowings(269M)(894M)(606M)(379M)(435.9M)(457.6M)
Change To Netincome856M384M281M311M279.9M265.9M

Transocean Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Transocean or Energy Equipment & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Transocean's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Transocean stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
3.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Transocean Volatility Alert

Transocean exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.41 and kurtosis of 1.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Transocean's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Transocean's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Transocean Implied Volatility

Transocean's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Transocean stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Transocean's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Transocean stock will not fluctuate a lot when Transocean's options are near their expiration.

Transocean Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Transocean's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Transocean's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Transocean and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Transocean or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Transocean's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Transocean by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Transocean to competition
FundamentalsTransoceanPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0495-0.31
Return On Asset0.0125-0.14
Profit Margin(0.15) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.19 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding878.89 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders16.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions71.60 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted140.9 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(3.44) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.76 X11.42 X
Revenue3.52 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.35 B27.38 B
EBITDA582 M3.9 B
Net Income(512 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents683 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.32 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.88 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.64 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.64 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations447 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.76) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(22.91) X4.89 X
Target Price4.71
Number Of Employees5.47 K18.84 K
Beta2.72-0.15
Market Capitalization2.67 B19.03 B
Total Asset19.37 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(4.54 B)9.33 B
Working Capital789 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 22000 shares by Roderick Mackenzie of Transocean at 2.94 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Transocean Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Transocean . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Transocean Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Transocean? Buying financial instruments such as Transocean Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Transocean in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Long Short Funds Thematic Idea Now

Long Short Funds
Long Short Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that are designed to hedge away market risk by investing in combination of bonds, stocks, derivative instruments as well as short positions to maximize returns irrespective of market conditions. The Long Short Funds theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Long Short Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Transocean is a strong investment it is important to analyze Transocean's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Transocean's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Transocean Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Transocean Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Transocean Stock please use our How to Invest in Transocean guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Energy Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Transocean. If investors know Transocean will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Transocean listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.76)
Revenue Per Share
4.146
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.285
Return On Assets
0.0125
Return On Equity
(0.05)
The market value of Transocean is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Transocean that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Transocean's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Transocean's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Transocean's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Transocean's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Transocean's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transocean is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transocean's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.