Redfin Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| RDFN Stock | USD 10.70 0.20 1.90% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Redfin Corp is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Redfin Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Redfin Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Redfin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Redfin Corp guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Redfin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Redfin Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Redfin |
Execute Redfin Corp Buy or Sell Advice
The Redfin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Redfin Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Redfin Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Redfin Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Very regressive towards the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Redfin Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Redfin Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Redfin Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (164.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 364.2 M. | |
| Redfin Corp currently holds about 473.25 M in cash with (32.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.36. | |
| Redfin Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Redfin Is Under Contract |
Redfin Corp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Redfin Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Redfin Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Redfin Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Redfin Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Redfin Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Redfin Corp.
| Mean Return | 0.47 | Value At Risk | -8.83 | Potential Upside | 6.35 | Standard Deviation | 9.42 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Redfin Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Redfin Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Redfin Corp, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Redfin Corp back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | J. Goldman & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Cubist Systematic Strategies, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 917 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 872.4 K | Jane Street Group Llc | 2024-12-31 | 754.3 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 737.7 K | Federated Hermes Inc | 2024-12-31 | 620.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 16.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 10.1 M |
Redfin Corp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (42.4M) | 59.2M | (65.5M) | 94.7M | 34.4M | 36.1M | |
| Change In Cash | 698.4M | (227.5M) | (476.0M) | (91.2M) | (26.0M) | (24.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 20.1M | 576.7M | 728.7M | (335.3M) | (385.6M) | (366.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 46.6M | (329.1M) | 19.0M | 44.7M | (43.5M) | (45.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 14.6M | 46.9M | 64.9M | 62.8M | 42.8M | 27.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (575K) | 19.3M | 33.4M | (30.8M) | 38.6M | 40.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 14.7M | 27.5M | 21.5M | 12.1M | 11.2M | 14.6M | |
| Net Income | (18.5M) | (109.6M) | (321.1M) | (130.0M) | (164.8M) | (156.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 945.8M | 718.3M | 242.2M | 151M | 125.0M | 118.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 10.1M | 23.8M | 56.6M | 67.1M | 77.2M | 81.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | (51.9M) | 25.4M | (309.1M) | 243.9M | 114.2M | 0.0 | |
| Change Receivables | (3.9M) | (35.5M) | (7.1M) | 24.4M | 28.1M | 29.5M |
Redfin Corp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Redfin Corp or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Redfin Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Redfin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Redfin Corp Volatility Alert
Redfin Corp is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Redfin Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Redfin Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Redfin Corp Implied Volatility
Redfin Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Redfin Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Redfin Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Redfin Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Redfin Corp's options are near their expiration.
Redfin Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Redfin Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Redfin Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Redfin Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Redfin Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Redfin Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Redfin Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Redfin Corp to competition |
| Fundamentals | Redfin Corp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -14.76 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0863 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.16) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.12) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.22 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 126.39 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 59.37 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 18.46 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (3.35) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 269.90 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.04 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 364.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (94.78 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (164.8 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 473.25 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.36 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 604.92 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 7.97 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.00 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (0.65) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (32.31 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.95 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.36) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 8.46 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.78 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.9 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.35 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.01 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (988.13 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 42.88 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 359.38 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 8417 shares by Anthony Kappus of Redfin Corp at 8.4327 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Redfin Corp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Redfin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Redfin Corp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Redfin Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Redfin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Redfin Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Redfin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Redfin Corp guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Redfin Corp. If investors know Redfin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Redfin Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.286 | Earnings Share (1.36) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.12 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Redfin Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Redfin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Redfin Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Redfin Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Redfin Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Redfin Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Redfin Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Redfin Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Redfin Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.