Privia Health Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PRVA Stock  USD 23.75  0.37  1.58%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Privia Health Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Privia Health buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PRVA positions.
  
Check out Privia Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Privia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Privia Health Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Privia Health Buy or Sell Advice

The Privia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Privia Health Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Privia Health Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Privia Health's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Privia HealthBuy Privia Health
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Privia Health Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0871, Jensen Alpha of 0.3055, Total Risk Alpha of 0.447, Sortino Ratio of 0.1353 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1678
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Privia Health. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Privia Health is not overpriced, please check all Privia Health Group fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Privia Health Group has a number of shares shorted of 4.66 M, we recommend you to check out Privia Health Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Privia Health Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Privia Health Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: US Bancorp DE Buys 1,134 Shares of Privia Health Group, Inc. - Defense World

Privia Health Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Privia Health's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Privia Health's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Privia Health daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Privia Health Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Privia Health returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Privia Health.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-2.95
Potential Upside
3.10
Standard Deviation
2.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Privia Health historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Privia Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
1.9 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.5 M
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2024-12-31
1.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
1.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.4 M
Franklin Resources Inc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
M
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
18.4 M
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
18.2 M
Note, although Privia Health's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Privia Health Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments(380K)(32.8M)(104K)(38.0M)(12.0M)(12.6M)
Change In Cash37.7M235.9M27.4M41.5M101.6M74.2M
Free Cash Flow38.5M54.5M47.1M80.7M109.3M55.6M
Depreciation1.8M2.5M4.6M6.5M7.3M4.0M
Other Non Cash Items134K157K687K(2.1M)19.5M20.4M
Capital Expenditures5.7M380K547K104K113K0.0
Net Income30.9M(190.6M)(12.1M)23.1M17.0M17.9M
End Period Cash Flow84.6M320.6M348.0M389.5M491.1M270.3M
Change To Netincome624K(7.7M)222.7M60.4M69.4M60.8M

Privia Health Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Privia Health or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Privia Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Privia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.10
σ
Overall volatility
2.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Privia Health Volatility Alert

Privia Health Group currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.14 and Jensen Alpha of 0.31. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Privia Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Privia Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Privia Health Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Privia Health's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Privia Health's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Privia Health and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Privia Health or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Privia Health's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Privia Health by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Privia Health to competition
FundamentalsPrivia HealthPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0264-0.31
Return On Asset0.0099-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.38 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding120.51 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.62 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.38 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.66 M4.71 M
Price To Book4.51 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.65 X11.42 X
Revenue1.74 B9.43 B
Gross Profit176.85 M27.38 B
EBITDA24.25 M3.9 B
Net Income17.04 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents316.9 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.77 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.59 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.90 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.28 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations109.28 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.49 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.11 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.93 X4.89 X
Target Price29.59
Number Of Employees1.14 K18.84 K
Beta0.85-0.15
Market Capitalization2.86 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.14 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(179.23 M)9.33 B
Working Capital385.68 M1.48 B
Net Asset1.14 B
Note: Disposition of 2438 shares by Fargis Edward C of Privia Health at 23.88 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Privia Health Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Privia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Privia Health Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Privia Health Group? Buying financial instruments such as Privia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Privia Health in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Privia Health Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Privia Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Privia Health Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Privia Health Group Stock:
Check out Privia Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Privia Health. If investors know Privia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Privia Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.245
Earnings Share
0.11
Revenue Per Share
14.542
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.046
Return On Assets
0.0099
The market value of Privia Health Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Privia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Privia Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Privia Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Privia Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Privia Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Privia Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Privia Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Privia Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.