Philip Morris International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PM Stock  USD 151.48  0.99  0.65%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Philip Morris International is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Philip Morris' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Philip Morris Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Philip and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Philip Morris International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Philip Morris Buy or Sell Advice

The Philip recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Philip Morris International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Philip Morris International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Philip Morris' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

3  Months

Risk Tolerance

I am an educated risk taker
Execute Advice
Sell Philip MorrisBuy Philip Morris
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Philip Morris International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1617, Jensen Alpha of 0.3254, Total Risk Alpha of 0.4441, Sortino Ratio of 0.2801 and Treynor Ratio of 1.16
Macroaxis provides advice on Philip Morris International to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Philip Morris Intern. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Philip Morris is not overpriced, please check all Philip Morris Intern fundamentals, including its book value per share, retained earnings, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Philip Morris Intern has a price to sales of 6.26 X, we recommend you to check out Philip Morris Intern market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Philip Morris Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Philip Morris International reports 45.7 B of total liabilities. Philip Morris Intern has a current ratio of 0.9, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Philip to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Is Philip Morris One of the Defensive Dividend Stocks to Buy During Market Sell Off

Philip Morris Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Philip Morris' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Philip Morris' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Philip Morris daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Philip Morris International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Philip Morris returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Philip Morris.
Mean Return
0.32
Value At Risk
-1.7
Potential Upside
2.26
Standard Deviation
1.80
   Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-6.85-5.12-3.38-1.7-0.08671.683.445.317.179.03VARUpside 0.020.040.060.080.100.120.14
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GOOGLE
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Philip Morris historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Philip Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Philip Morris, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Philip Morris International back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
17.3 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
17.2 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
16.1 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-12-31
15.3 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
15 M
Franklin Resources Inc2024-12-31
14.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
13.6 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
13.4 M
Fundsmith Llp2024-12-31
11.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
139.4 M
Capital World Investors2024-12-31
122.6 M
Note, although Philip Morris' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Philip Morris Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash420M(2.8B)(1.3B)(71M)1.1B1.2B
Free Cash Flow9.2B11.2B9.7B7.9B10.8B8.5B
Depreciation981M998M1.2B1.4B1.8B1.0B
Other Non Cash Items268M(69M)159M710M2.4B2.5B
Capital Expenditures602M748M1.1B1.3B1.4B1.1B
Net Income8.6B9.7B9.5B8.3B7.5B8.2B
End Period Cash Flow7.3B4.5B3.2B3.1B4.3B3.7B
Change To Inventory(165M)549M(1.3B)(862M)552M579.6M
Dividends Paid7.4B7.6B7.8B8.0B8.2B6.9B
Change To Netincome30M(259M)(308M)(327M)(294.3M)(279.6M)
Change Receivables(331M)26M(198M)(871M)(783.9M)(744.7M)
Net Borrowings(543M)(356M)(3.0B)14.2B16.3B17.1B
Investments(598M)432M264M(3.6B)(1.1B)(1.1B)

Philip Morris Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Philip Morris or Tobacco sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Philip Morris' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Philip stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Philip Morris Volatility Alert

Philip Morris International has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.98 and kurtosis of 18.5. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Philip Morris' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Philip Morris' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Philip Morris Implied Volatility

Philip Morris' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Philip Morris International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Philip Morris' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Philip Morris stock will not fluctuate a lot when Philip Morris' options are near their expiration.
Implied Volatility100%

Philip Morris Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Philip Morris' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Philip Morris' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Philip Morris and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Philip Morris or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Philip Morris' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Philip Morris by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Philip Morris to competition
FundamentalsPhilip MorrisPeer Average
Return On Asset0.13-0.14
Profit Margin0.19 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.28 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation277.01 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.55 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.14 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions81.04 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted17.14 M4.71 M
Price To Earning17.73 X28.72 X
Price To Sales6.26 X11.42 X
Revenue37.88 B9.43 B
Gross Profit24.55 B27.38 B
EBITDA15.75 B3.9 B
Net Income7.5 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.21 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.59 X5.01 X
Total Debt45.7 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity(3.43) %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.92 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(7.56) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations12.22 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.55 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.01 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.21 X4.89 X
Target Price149.79
Number Of Employees83.1 K18.84 K
Beta0.56-0.15
Market Capitalization237.07 B19.03 B
Total Asset61.78 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings32.87 B9.33 B
Working Capital(2.75 B)1.48 B
Current Asset15.8 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities15.39 B7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Shlomo Yanai of 1759 shares of Philip Morris subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Philip Morris Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Philip . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Philip Morris Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Philip Morris International? Buying financial instruments such as Philip Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Philip Morris in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Target Risk ETFs
Target Risk ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Target Risk ETFs theme has 32 constituents at this time.
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Check out Philip Morris Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Tobacco space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Philip Morris. If investors know Philip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Philip Morris listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.493
Dividend Share
5.3
Earnings Share
6.01
Revenue Per Share
24.375
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.073
The market value of Philip Morris Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Philip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Philip Morris' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Philip Morris' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Philip Morris' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Philip Morris' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Philip Morris' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Philip Morris is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Philip Morris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.