Philip Morris International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PM Stock | USD 133.06 1.24 0.94% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Philip Morris International is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Philip Morris' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Philip Morris Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Philip and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Philip Morris International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
Philip |
Execute Philip Morris Buy or Sell Advice
The Philip recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Philip Morris International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Philip Morris International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Philip Morris' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Philip Morris Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Philip Morris International reports 47.91 B of total liabilities. Philip Morris Intern has a current ratio of 0.9, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Philip to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Philip Morris Intern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of October 2024 Philip Morris paid $ 1.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Philip Morris International Inc. Shares Sold by Dai ichi Life Insurance Company Ltd |
Philip Morris Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Philip Morris' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Philip Morris' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Philip Morris daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Philip Morris International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Philip Morris returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Philip Morris.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -1.84 | Potential Upside | 1.99 | Standard Deviation | 1.76 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Philip Morris historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Philip Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Philip Morris, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Philip Morris International back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 20.7 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 19.9 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 16.6 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 16.3 M | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 13.3 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 13.2 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 13.2 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 12.3 M | Fundsmith Llp | 2024-09-30 | 12 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 138.3 M | Capital World Investors | 2024-09-30 | 118.4 M |
Philip Morris Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 245M | 420M | (2.8B) | (1.3B) | (71M) | (74.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 9.2B | 9.2B | 11.2B | 9.7B | 7.9B | 8.3B | |
| Depreciation | 964M | 981M | 998M | 1.2B | 1.4B | 961.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 413M | 268M | (69M) | 159M | 648M | 680.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 852M | 602M | 748M | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.1B | |
| Net Income | 7.7B | 8.6B | 9.7B | 9.5B | 8.3B | 8.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 6.9B | 7.3B | 4.5B | 3.2B | 3.1B | 3.7B | |
| Change To Inventory | (548M) | (165M) | 549M | (1.3B) | (862M) | (905.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 7.2B | 7.4B | 7.6B | 7.8B | (8.0B) | (7.6B) | |
| Change To Netincome | 30M | (259M) | (308M) | (327M) | (294.3M) | (279.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | (331M) | 26M | (198M) | (871M) | (783.9M) | (744.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (543M) | (356M) | (3.0B) | 14.2B | 16.3B | 17.1B | |
| Investments | 355M | (598M) | 432M | 264M | (3.6B) | (3.4B) |
Philip Morris Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Philip Morris or Tobacco sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Philip Morris' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Philip stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Philip Morris Volatility Alert
Philip Morris International has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.69 and kurtosis of 18.63. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Philip Morris' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Philip Morris' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Philip Morris Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Philip Morris' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Philip Morris' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Philip Morris and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Philip Morris or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Philip Morris' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Philip Morris by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Philip Morris to competition |
| Fundamentals | Philip Morris | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.26 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.43 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 251.85 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.55 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.12 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.43 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.33 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 17.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.56 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 35.17 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 20.53 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 13.37 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8.27 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.21 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.59 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 47.91 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | (3.43) % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.92 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (6.24) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.2 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.40 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.30 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.65 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 136.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 82.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.56 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 206.89 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 65.3 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 34.09 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (6.63 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 15.8 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 15.39 B | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by Shlomo Yanai of 1759 shares of Philip Morris subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Philip Morris Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Philip . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Philip Morris Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Philip Morris International? Buying financial instruments such as Philip Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Philip Morris in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Giant Impact Thematic Idea Now
Giant Impact
An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Giant Impact Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Philip Morris Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Tobacco space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Philip Morris. If investors know Philip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Philip Morris listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.493 | Dividend Share 5.25 | Earnings Share 6.3 | Revenue Per Share 23.958 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.084 |
The market value of Philip Morris Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Philip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Philip Morris' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Philip Morris' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Philip Morris' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Philip Morris' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Philip Morris' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Philip Morris is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Philip Morris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.