Penumbra Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PEN Stock  USD 272.62  11.99  4.60%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Penumbra is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Penumbra's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Penumbra Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Penumbra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Penumbra guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Penumbra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Penumbra. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Penumbra Buy or Sell Advice

The Penumbra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Penumbra. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Penumbra or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Penumbra's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PenumbraBuy Penumbra
Strong Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Penumbra has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0881, Jensen Alpha of 0.3503, Total Risk Alpha of 0.5597, Sortino Ratio of 0.1694 and Treynor Ratio of 0.218
Macroaxis provides advice on Penumbra to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Penumbra. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Penumbra is not overpriced, please check all Penumbra fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Penumbra has a price to earning of 191.13 X, we recommend you to check out Penumbra market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Penumbra Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Penumbra has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Penumbra stock launched at BofA with Buy

Penumbra Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Penumbra's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Penumbra's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Penumbra daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Penumbra price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Penumbra returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Penumbra.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-3.49
Potential Upside
4.60
Standard Deviation
2.60
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Penumbra historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Penumbra Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Penumbra, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Penumbra back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2024-12-31
663.9 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
651 K
Congress Asset Management Company, Llp2024-12-31
609 K
Hhg Plc2024-12-31
597.1 K
Capital World Investors2024-12-31
543.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
438.7 K
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2024-12-31
367.7 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
346.5 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
324 K
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
5.8 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
4.1 M
Note, although Penumbra's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Penumbra Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(57.0M)(51.6M)(74.6M)(67.7M)43.7M45.8M
Change In Cash(3.1M)(10.3M)10.5M97.6M156.9M164.8M
Free Cash Flow(58.0M)(11.7M)(75.0M)82.1M147.3M154.7M
Depreciation12.9M16.4M24.3M27.3M23.7M24.9M
Other Non Cash Items17.6M9.2M5.0M26.8M100.9M106.0M
Capital Expenditures24.8M21.2M19.3M15.2M21.2M15.8M
Net Income(19.3M)2.6M(2.0M)91.0M14.0M15.1M
End Period Cash Flow69.7M59.4M69.9M167.5M324.4M340.6M
Investments(76.3M)(3.1M)74.1M(31.7M)77.6M81.5M
Net Borrowings(2.6M)(3.4M)(1.5M)(1.8M)(2.0M)(2.1M)
Change To Netincome(28.4M)24.3M57.2M43.6M50.1M52.6M
Change Receivables25.0M(8.3M)(21.3M)(69.9M)(62.9M)(59.7M)

Penumbra Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Penumbra or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Penumbra's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Penumbra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
2.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Penumbra Volatility Alert

Penumbra currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Penumbra's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Penumbra's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Penumbra Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Penumbra's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Penumbra's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Penumbra and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Penumbra or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Penumbra's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penumbra by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Penumbra to competition
FundamentalsPenumbraPeer Average
Return On Equity0.012-0.31
Return On Asset0.0484-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.24 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.92 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding38.52 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.93 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions92.24 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.36 M4.71 M
Price To Earning191.13 X28.72 X
Price To Book8.72 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.79 X11.42 X
Revenue1.19 B9.43 B
Gross Profit788.36 M27.38 B
EBITDA45.99 M3.9 B
Net Income14.01 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents69.86 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.39 X5.01 X
Total Debt223.39 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.23 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.93 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share29.90 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations168.48 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.35 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(62.27) X4.89 X
Target Price310.35
Number Of Employees4.5 K18.84 K
Beta0.51-0.15
Market Capitalization10.5 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.53 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings60 M9.33 B
Working Capital792.78 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 250 shares by Maggie Yuen of Penumbra at 283.25 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Penumbra Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Penumbra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Penumbra Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Penumbra? Buying financial instruments such as Penumbra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Penumbra in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run FinTech Thematic Idea Now

FinTech
FinTech Theme
High long term potential financial entities that are ranging from payment processing, investment management to commercial and investment banking. The FinTech theme has 69 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize FinTech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Penumbra offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Penumbra's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Penumbra Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Penumbra Stock:
Check out Penumbra Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Penumbra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Penumbra guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penumbra. If investors know Penumbra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penumbra listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
Earnings Share
0.35
Revenue Per Share
30.922
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.108
Return On Assets
0.0484
The market value of Penumbra is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penumbra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penumbra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penumbra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penumbra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penumbra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penumbra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Penumbra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penumbra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.