Passage Bio Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PASG Stock  USD 0.39  0.01  2.50%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Passage Bio is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Passage Bio buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PASG positions.
  
Check out Passage Bio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Passage Stock please use our How to Invest in Passage Bio guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Passage and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Passage Bio. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Passage Bio Buy or Sell Advice

The Passage recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Passage Bio. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Passage Bio or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Passage Bio's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Passage BioBuy Passage Bio
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Passage Bio has a Mean Deviation of 3.95, Standard Deviation of 7.27 and Variance of 52.91
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Passage Bio. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Passage Bio is not overpriced, please check all Passage Bio fundamentals, including its total debt, number of employees, net asset, as well as the relationship between the cash flow from operations and retained earnings . As Passage Bio appears to be a penny stock we also advise to check out its price to book numbers.

Passage Bio Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Passage Bio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Passage Bio has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Passage Bio has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Passage Bio has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (64.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Passage Bio currently holds about 239.25 M in cash with (47.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Passage Bio has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Passage Bio stock plunges to 52-week low of 0.38 amid market challenges - Investing.com India

Passage Bio Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Passage Bio's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Passage Bio's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Passage Bio daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Passage Bio price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Passage Bio returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Passage Bio.
Mean Return
-0.82
Value At Risk
-8.96
Potential Upside
7.02
Standard Deviation
7.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Passage Bio historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Passage Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Shay Capital Llc2024-12-31
225.3 K
Fiduciary Trust Co2024-12-31
215 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
156.8 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
148.6 K
Rbf Llc2024-12-31
142.8 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
78.2 K
Squarepoint Ops Llc2024-12-31
64.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
62.5 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-12-31
54.5 K
Orbimed Advisors, Llc2024-12-31
7.4 M
Vestal Point Capital Lp2024-12-31
6.1 M
Note, although Passage Bio's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Passage Bio Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(23.9M)(6.0M)(94.4M)(12.9M)15.9M16.7M
Free Cash Flow(82.2M)(152.5M)(123.5M)(78.4M)(48.0M)(50.4M)
Depreciation800K1.5M3.7M3.7M3.1M2.1M
Other Non Cash Items1.3M10.1M3.8M3.8M3.7M4.1M
Capital Expenditures1.6M25.6M5.3M146K34K32.3K
Net Income(112.2M)(185.4M)(136.1M)(102.1M)(64.8M)(68.0M)
End Period Cash Flow135.0M129.0M34.6M21.7M37.6M61.9M
Change To Netincome11.5M14.6M32.7M19.0M21.8M17.7M

Passage Bio Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Passage Bio or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Passage Bio's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Passage stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.48
σ
Overall volatility
7.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Passage Bio Volatility Alert

Passage Bio is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Passage Bio is a potential penny stock. Although Passage Bio may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Passage Bio. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Passage instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Passage Bio Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Passage Bio's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Passage Bio's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Passage Bio and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Passage Bio or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Passage Bio's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Passage Bio by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Passage Bio to competition
FundamentalsPassage BioPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.75-0.31
Return On Asset-0.32-0.14
Current Valuation(27.23 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding62.15 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.48 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions60.63 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.79 M4.71 M
Price To Book0.39 X9.51 X
EBITDA(70.4 M)3.9 B
Net Income(64.77 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents239.25 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.39 X5.01 X
Total Debt25.48 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio9.23 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(47.96 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio13.57 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.07) X3.12 X
Target Price6.75
Number Of Employees6018.84 K
Beta1.55-0.15
Market Capitalization23.99 M19.03 B
Total Asset102.41 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(659.24 M)9.33 B
Working Capital59.45 M1.48 B
Current Asset144.91 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities3.09 M7.9 B
Net Asset102.41 M
Note: Acquisition by Cale Edgar B. of 50000 shares of Passage Bio subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Passage Bio Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Passage . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Passage Bio Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Passage Bio? Buying financial instruments such as Passage Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Passage Bio in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Measuring and Control Equipment Thematic Idea Now

Measuring and Control Equipment
Measuring and Control Equipment Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Measuring and Control Equipment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Measuring and Control Equipment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Passage Bio is a strong investment it is important to analyze Passage Bio's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Passage Bio's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Passage Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Passage Bio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Passage Stock please use our How to Invest in Passage Bio guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Passage Bio. If investors know Passage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Passage Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.07)
Return On Assets
(0.32)
Return On Equity
(0.75)
The market value of Passage Bio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Passage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Passage Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Passage Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Passage Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Passage Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Passage Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Passage Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Passage Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.