Optinose Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| OPTN Stock | USD 5.36 0.01 0.19% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding OptiNose is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of OptiNose's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out OptiNose Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in OptiNose Stock, please use our How to Invest in OptiNose guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as OptiNose and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards OptiNose. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
OptiNose |
Execute OptiNose Buy or Sell Advice
The OptiNose recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on OptiNose. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in OptiNose or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute OptiNose's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
OptiNose Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| OptiNose generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| OptiNose has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| OptiNose has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 70.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.26 M. | |
| OptiNose currently holds about 78.26 M in cash with (20.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94. | |
| OptiNose has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: OptiNose shareholders have endured a 90 percent loss from investing in the stock five years ago |
OptiNose Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of OptiNose's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of OptiNose's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of OptiNose daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use OptiNose price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of OptiNose returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for OptiNose.
| Mean Return | -0.53 | Value At Risk | -6.36 | Potential Upside | 7.74 | Standard Deviation | 4.73 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of OptiNose historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
OptiNose Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as OptiNose, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OptiNose back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 86.2 K | Rice Hall James & Associates, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 74.5 K | Gmt Capital Corp | 2024-12-31 | 74 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-12-31 | 68.5 K | Prescott Group Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 60.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 55.9 K | Prudential Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 49.2 K | Easterly Investment Partners. | 2024-12-31 | 46.7 K | Jane Street Group Llc | 2024-12-31 | 28.6 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Nantahala Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 986 K |
OptiNose Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (5.4M) | (2.7M) | 2.5M | 1.3M | 1.5M | 1.6M | |
| Change In Cash | (3.0M) | (33.7M) | (16.3M) | (20.6M) | (18.5M) | (17.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (84.9M) | (4.5M) | (227K) | (298K) | (268.2K) | (254.8K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (86.8M) | (77.1M) | (67.7M) | (20.9M) | (18.8M) | (19.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 1.5M | 646K | 532K | 402K | 462.3K | 611.7K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.2M | 1.8M | 3.5M | (2.6M) | (3.0M) | (2.9M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 546K | 167K | 63K | 328K | 295.2K | 538.0K | |
| Net Income | (99.8M) | (82.3M) | (74.8M) | (35.5M) | (31.9M) | (33.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 144.2M | 110.5M | 94.2M | 73.7M | 84.7M | 129.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 17.0M | 11.0M | 9.7M | 10.1M | 11.6M | 8.6M | |
| Investments | (546K) | (62K) | (63K) | (328K) | (377.2K) | (396.1K) | |
| Change Receivables | (11.3M) | (10.4M) | (11.8M) | 1.5M | 1.7M | 1.8M |
OptiNose Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to OptiNose or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that OptiNose's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a OptiNose stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
OptiNose Volatility Alert
OptiNose exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.46 and kurtosis of 4.6. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure OptiNose's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact OptiNose's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.OptiNose Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing OptiNose's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze OptiNose's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between OptiNose and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as OptiNose or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of OptiNose's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OptiNose by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare OptiNose to competition |
| Fundamentals | OptiNose | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -10.5 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.41) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.10) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 98.49 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 10.06 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.16 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 72.66 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 241.03 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (3.41) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 24.26 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.71 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 70.99 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 68.26 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (15.55 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (35.48 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 78.26 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.94 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 130.23 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 2.14 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (4.09) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (20.53 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 14.38 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (4.35) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.06) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 23.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 132 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.3 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 53.9 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 107.73 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (720.38 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (71.19 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 83.03 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Avista Capital Partners Ii Gp, Llc of 48370 shares of OptiNose subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
OptiNose Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as OptiNose . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About OptiNose Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell OptiNose? Buying financial instruments such as OptiNose Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out OptiNose Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in OptiNose Stock, please use our How to Invest in OptiNose guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OptiNose. If investors know OptiNose will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OptiNose listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.35) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of OptiNose is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OptiNose that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OptiNose's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OptiNose's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OptiNose's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OptiNose's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OptiNose's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OptiNose is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OptiNose's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.