Northwest Pipe Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NWPX Stock  USD 41.81  1.48  3.67%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Northwest Pipe is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Northwest Pipe given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Northwest Pipe, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Northwest Pipe Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Northwest Stock please use our How to Invest in Northwest Pipe guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Northwest and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Northwest Pipe. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Northwest Pipe Buy or Sell Advice

The Northwest recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Northwest Pipe. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Northwest Pipe or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Northwest Pipe's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Northwest PipeBuy Northwest Pipe
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Northwest Pipe has a Mean Deviation of 1.72, Standard Deviation of 2.38 and Variance of 5.67
Northwest Pipe trade recommendations module can be used to check and cross-verify current advice provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Northwest Pipe is not overpriced, please verify all Northwest Pipe fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Northwest Pipe has a price to earning of 17.51 X, we recommend you to check Northwest Pipe market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Northwest Pipe Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Northwest Pipe generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: With 84 percent ownership of the shares, Northwest Pipe Company is heavily dominated by institutional owners

Northwest Pipe Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Northwest Pipe's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Northwest Pipe's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Northwest Pipe daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Northwest Pipe price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Northwest Pipe returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Northwest Pipe.
Mean Return
-0.4
Value At Risk
-4.26
Potential Upside
3.28
Standard Deviation
2.38
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Northwest Pipe historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Northwest Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Northwest Pipe, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northwest Pipe back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, Llc2024-12-31
198.7 K
Foundry Partners, Llc2024-12-31
153.6 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
116.8 K
Kbc Group Nv2024-12-31
111.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
102.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
98.3 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
95.8 K
Legal & General Group Plc2024-12-31
84.7 K
Crown Advisors Management, Inc.2024-12-31
75 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-12-31
808.7 K
Note, although Northwest Pipe's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Northwest Pipe Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory7.2M(17.7M)(11.4M)(20.2M)11.5M12.0M
Change In Cash6.9M(34.9M)684K387.0K939K986.0K
Free Cash Flow41.7M(19.1M)(5.6M)35.2M34.3M36.0M
Depreciation14.6M13.6M17.1M15.8M19.1M20.0M
Other Non Cash Items742K193K(286K)1.1M1.4M1.5M
Capital Expenditures14.3M13.3M23.2M18.3M20.8M14.4M
Net Income19.1M11.5M31.1M21.1M34.2M35.9M
End Period Cash Flow37.9M3.0M3.7M4.1M5.0M6.5M
Change Receivables(6.1M)1.6M392K(19.3M)(17.4M)(16.5M)
Net Borrowings(11.7M)13.3M72.6M7.7M8.8M9.3M
Change To Netincome(1.6M)7.9M3.6M3.9M3.5M6.7M
Investments(61.4M)(100.2M)(23.1M)(20.4M)(20.7M)(21.8M)

Northwest Pipe Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northwest Pipe or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northwest Pipe's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northwest stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Northwest Pipe Volatility Alert

Northwest Pipe exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.05 and kurtosis of 4.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northwest Pipe's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northwest Pipe's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Northwest Pipe Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Northwest Pipe's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Northwest Pipe's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Northwest Pipe and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Northwest Pipe or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Northwest Pipe's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northwest Pipe by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Northwest Pipe to competition
FundamentalsNorthwest PipePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0958-0.31
Return On Asset0.0508-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation540.27 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding9.94 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.72 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions84.39 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted132.81 K4.71 M
Price To Earning17.51 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.11 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.84 X11.42 X
Revenue492.55 M9.43 B
Gross Profit95.41 M27.38 B
EBITDA48.24 M3.9 B
Net Income34.21 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.85 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.39 X5.01 X
Total Debt129.88 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.62 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.94 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share37.71 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations55.05 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.57 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.40 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.38 X4.89 X
Target Price57.0
Number Of Employees1.36 K18.84 K
Beta1.09-0.15
Market Capitalization415.39 M19.03 B
Total Asset589.65 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings246.33 M9.33 B
Working Capital187.35 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 431 shares by Megan Kendrick of Northwest Pipe at 35.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Northwest Pipe Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Northwest . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Northwest Pipe Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Northwest Pipe? Buying financial instruments such as Northwest Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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IT Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize IT Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Northwest Stock Analysis

When running Northwest Pipe's price analysis, check to measure Northwest Pipe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northwest Pipe is operating at the current time. Most of Northwest Pipe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northwest Pipe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northwest Pipe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northwest Pipe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.