Noah Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NOAH Stock  USD 11.05  0.42  3.95%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Noah Holdings is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Noah Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Noah Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Noah Stock please use our How to Invest in Noah Holdings guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Noah and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Noah Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Noah Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The Noah recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Noah Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Noah Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Noah Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Noah HoldingsBuy Noah Holdings
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Very StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Noah Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), Jensen Alpha of (0.09), Total Risk Alpha of 0.172 and Treynor Ratio of (0.22)
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Noah Holdings and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Noah Holdings is not overpriced, please verify all Noah Holdings fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to book, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that Noah Holdings has a price to earning of 5.62 X, we recommend you to check Noah Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Noah Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Noah Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Noah Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Noah Holdings has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Noah to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Unaudited Financial Results on March 25, 2025

Noah Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Noah Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Noah Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Noah Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Noah Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Noah Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Noah Holdings.
Mean Return
-0.16
Value At Risk
-4.27
Potential Upside
3.95
Standard Deviation
2.73
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Noah Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Noah Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Pinpoint Asset Management Ltd2024-12-31
301.4 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
198.8 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
186 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
139.9 K
Crédit Agricole S.a.2024-12-31
110 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
99.2 K
Trexquant Investment Lp2024-12-31
91.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
90.3 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
83.9 K
Yiheng Capital Llc2024-12-31
6.7 M
Fidelity International Ltd2024-12-31
4.3 M
Note, although Noah Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Noah Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash628.8M(1.6B)1.0B919.4M1.1B1.1B
Free Cash Flow744.7M(749.4M)570.2M1.2B1.3B1.4B
Depreciation98.5M146.6M156.0M158.1M181.8M190.9M
Other Non Cash Items742.9M(85.0M)(27.2M)121.4M139.6M146.6M
Capital Expenditures51.6M2.3B62.7M157.9M181.6M212.2M
Net Income(743.5M)1.3B976.6M1.0B1.2B1.2B
End Period Cash Flow5.0B3.4B4.4B5.4B6.2B6.5B
Change To Netincome118.5M418.2M1.5B(10.7M)(12.3M)(11.7M)
Investments144.6M(2.6B)74.3M(247.1M)(222.4M)(233.5M)

Noah Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Noah Holdings or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Noah Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Noah stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
2.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Noah Holdings Volatility Alert

Noah Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.28 and kurtosis of 0.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Noah Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Noah Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Noah Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Noah Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Noah Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Noah Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Noah Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Noah Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Noah Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Noah Holdings to competition
FundamentalsNoah HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0584-0.31
Return On Asset0.0371-0.14
Profit Margin0.21 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.35 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation90.7 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding66.42 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions41.99 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted692.21 K4.71 M
Price To Earning5.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.55 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.30 X11.42 X
Revenue3.29 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.45 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.26 B3.9 B
Net Income1 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.69 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share54.93 X5.01 X
Total Debt138.36 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share139.38 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.32 B971.22 M
Short Ratio8.72 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.35 X3.12 X
Target Price13.67
Number Of Employees2.58 K18.84 K
Beta0.71-0.15
Market Capitalization840.85 M19.03 B
Total Asset12.69 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings6.44 B9.33 B
Working Capital5.23 B1.48 B
Current Asset503.54 M9.34 B

Noah Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Noah . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Noah Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Noah Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Noah Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Noah Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Stores Thematic Idea Now

Stores
Stores Theme
Companies providing different types of retail and wholesale services. The Stores theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Stores Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Noah Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Noah Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Noah Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Noah Holdings Stock:
Check out Noah Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Noah Stock please use our How to Invest in Noah Holdings guide.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Noah Holdings. If investors know Noah will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Noah Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
Dividend Share
7.75
Earnings Share
1.35
Revenue Per Share
39.28
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Noah Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Noah that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Noah Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Noah Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Noah Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Noah Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Noah Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Noah Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Noah Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.