Noah Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NOAH Stock | USD 11.05 0.42 3.95% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Noah Holdings is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Noah Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Noah Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Noah Stock please use our How to Invest in Noah Holdings guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Noah and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Noah Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Noah |
Execute Noah Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Noah recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Noah Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Noah Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Noah Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Very Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Noah Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Noah Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Noah Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Noah Holdings has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Noah to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Unaudited Financial Results on March 25, 2025 |
Noah Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Noah Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Noah Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Noah Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Noah Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Noah Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Noah Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.16 | Value At Risk | -4.27 | Potential Upside | 3.95 | Standard Deviation | 2.73 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Noah Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Noah Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Pinpoint Asset Management Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 301.4 K | State Street Corp | 2024-12-31 | 198.8 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-12-31 | 186 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-12-31 | 139.9 K | Crédit Agricole S.a. | 2024-12-31 | 110 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 99.2 K | Trexquant Investment Lp | 2024-12-31 | 91.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 90.3 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 83.9 K | Yiheng Capital Llc | 2024-12-31 | 6.7 M | Fidelity International Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 4.3 M |
Noah Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 628.8M | (1.6B) | 1.0B | 919.4M | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 744.7M | (749.4M) | 570.2M | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.4B | |
| Depreciation | 98.5M | 146.6M | 156.0M | 158.1M | 181.8M | 190.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 742.9M | (85.0M) | (27.2M) | 121.4M | 139.6M | 146.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 51.6M | 2.3B | 62.7M | 157.9M | 181.6M | 212.2M | |
| Net Income | (743.5M) | 1.3B | 976.6M | 1.0B | 1.2B | 1.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.0B | 3.4B | 4.4B | 5.4B | 6.2B | 6.5B | |
| Change To Netincome | 118.5M | 418.2M | 1.5B | (10.7M) | (12.3M) | (11.7M) | |
| Investments | 144.6M | (2.6B) | 74.3M | (247.1M) | (222.4M) | (233.5M) |
Noah Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Noah Holdings or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Noah Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Noah stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Noah Holdings Volatility Alert
Noah Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.28 and kurtosis of 0.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Noah Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Noah Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Noah Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Noah Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Noah Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Noah Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Noah Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Noah Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Noah Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Noah Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Noah Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0584 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0371 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.21 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.35 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 90.7 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 66.42 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.71 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 41.99 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 692.21 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.29 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.45 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.26 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.69 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 54.93 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 138.36 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 139.38 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.32 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.72 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.35 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 13.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.58 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.71 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 840.85 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.69 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 6.44 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 5.23 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 503.54 M | 9.34 B |
Noah Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Noah . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Noah Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Noah Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Noah Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Noah Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Noah Stock please use our How to Invest in Noah Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Noah Holdings. If investors know Noah will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Noah Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Dividend Share 7.75 | Earnings Share 1.35 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Noah Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Noah that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Noah Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Noah Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Noah Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Noah Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Noah Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Noah Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Noah Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.