Mueller Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MLI Stock  USD 79.49  1.54  1.98%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mueller Industries is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Mueller Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Mueller Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Mueller Stock please use our How to Invest in Mueller Industries guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mueller and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mueller Industries. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Mueller Industries Buy or Sell Advice

The Mueller recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mueller Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mueller Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mueller Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Mueller IndustriesBuy Mueller Industries
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Mueller Industries has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0199, Jensen Alpha of 0.1108, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2386, Sortino Ratio of 0.0725 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0237
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on Mueller Industries that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Mueller Industries. Our investment recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Mueller Industries is not overpriced, please verify all Mueller Industries fundamentals, including its net income, short ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Mueller Industries has a price to earning of 5.95 X, we recommend you to check Mueller Industries market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Mueller Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mueller Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mueller Industries is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Mueller Industries has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Insider Unloading Steffen Sigloch Sells 1.26M Worth Of Mueller Industries Shares

Mueller Industries Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mueller Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mueller Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mueller Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mueller Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mueller Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mueller Industries.
Mean Return
0.03
Value At Risk
-2.42
Potential Upside
2.69
Standard Deviation
1.75
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mueller Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mueller Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
1.9 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
1.9 M
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Gabelli Funds Llc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.5 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
1.5 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
1.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
1.3 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
14.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
11.7 M
Note, although Mueller Industries' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mueller Industries Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory5.2M(119.5M)(24.2M)67.9M(32.8M)(31.1M)
Change In Cash29.3M(37M)374.9M708.9M(135.3M)(128.6M)
Free Cash Flow201.2M279.9M686.3M618.7M565.7M594.0M
Depreciation45.2M45.7M44.1M40.0M53.1M37.3M
Other Non Cash Items27.0M(48.7M)(14.5M)(34.5M)2.4M2.6M
Capital Expenditures43.9M31.8M37.6M54.0M80.2M43.8M
Net Income143.6M475.1M662.8M602.9M617.5M648.4M
End Period Cash Flow127.4M90.4M465.3M1.2B1.0B1.1B
Dividends Paid22.3M29.1M55.8M66.9M89.1M93.6M
Change Receivables(11.3M)6.5M(76.4M)(124.7M)(112.2M)(106.6M)
Net Borrowings(110.4M)(57.1M)(330.7M)(137K)(123.3K)(129.5K)
Change To Netincome31.9M31.5M(24.8M)3.9M3.5M6.6M
Investments(9.3M)(1.6M)(242.0M)135.1M(606.9M)(576.6M)

Mueller Industries Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mueller Industries or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mueller Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mueller stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.83
σ
Overall volatility
1.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Mueller Industries Volatility Alert

Mueller Industries has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.08 and kurtosis of 0.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mueller Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mueller Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mueller Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mueller Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mueller Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mueller Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mueller Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mueller Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mueller Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mueller Industries to competition
FundamentalsMueller IndustriesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.24-0.31
Return On Asset0.16-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.18 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.98 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding113.27 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.46 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions93.63 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.66 M4.71 M
Price To Earning5.95 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.39 X11.42 X
Revenue3.77 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.04 B27.38 B
EBITDA874 M3.9 B
Net Income617.54 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents461.02 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.50 X5.01 X
Total Debt33.76 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.38 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations645.91 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.63 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.31 X3.12 X
Target Price105.0
Number Of Employees5.17 K18.84 K
Beta1.0-0.15
Market Capitalization9 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.29 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.11 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.61 B1.48 B
Current Asset624.28 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 11716 shares by Steffen Sigloch of Mueller Industries at 82.565 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Mueller Industries Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mueller . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mueller Industries Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mueller Industries? Buying financial instruments such as Mueller Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mueller Industries in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Mueller Industries offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mueller Industries' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mueller Industries Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mueller Industries Stock:
Check out Mueller Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Mueller Stock please use our How to Invest in Mueller Industries guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mueller Industries. If investors know Mueller will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mueller Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.162
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
5.31
Revenue Per Share
33.835
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.261
The market value of Mueller Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mueller that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mueller Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mueller Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mueller Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mueller Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mueller Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mueller Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mueller Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.