Magnolia Oil Gas Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MGY Stock | USD 23.27 0.73 3.24% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Magnolia Oil Gas is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Magnolia Oil Gas given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Magnolia Oil Gas, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Magnolia Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Magnolia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Magnolia Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Magnolia |
Execute Magnolia Oil Buy or Sell Advice
The Magnolia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Magnolia Oil Gas. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Magnolia Oil Gas or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Magnolia Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Magnolia Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Magnolia Oil Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 3rd of March 2025 Magnolia Oil paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Magnolia Oil Gas Corp is a Top-Ranked Value Stock Should You Buy |
Magnolia Oil Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Magnolia Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Magnolia Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Magnolia Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Magnolia Oil Gas price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Magnolia Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Magnolia Oil.
| Mean Return | -0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.3 | Potential Upside | 2.81 | Standard Deviation | 1.87 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Magnolia Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Magnolia Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Magnolia Oil, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Magnolia Oil Gas back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 4.7 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 4.1 M | Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3.8 M | Gw&k Investment Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3.5 M | Td Asset Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.1 M | Btim Corp | 2024-12-31 | 3.1 M | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3.1 M | Systematic Financial Management Lp | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 2.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 28.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 20.9 M |
Magnolia Oil Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 9.9M | 174.4M | 308.5M | (274.3M) | (141.1M) | (134.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 87.9M | 552.1M | 831.5M | 430.9M | 431.7M | 343.8M | |
| Depreciation | 297.9M | 197.0M | 243.2M | 324.8M | 414.5M | 305.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.9B | 10.0M | 9.7M | 71.4M | 18.6M | 17.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 222.2M | 236.4M | 465.1M | 424.9M | 489.1M | 352.6M | |
| Net Income | (1.9B) | 559.7M | 1.1B | 384.0M | 397.3M | 417.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 192.6M | 367.0M | 675.4M | 401.1M | 260.0M | 304.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 24.7M | (73.9M) | 11.9M | (52.4M) | (47.2M) | (44.8M) |
Magnolia Oil Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Magnolia Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Magnolia Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Magnolia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Magnolia Oil Volatility Alert
Magnolia Oil Gas exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.26 and kurtosis of -0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Magnolia Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Magnolia Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Magnolia Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Magnolia Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Magnolia Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Magnolia Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Magnolia Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Magnolia Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Magnolia Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Magnolia Oil to competition |
| Fundamentals | Magnolia Oil | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.28 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.38 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.52 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 188.64 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.42 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.58 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 30.77 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.83 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.22 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.43 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.32 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.1 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 922 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 397.33 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 675.44 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.66 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 392.51 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.31 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.11 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 920.85 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 14.42 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.94 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.46 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 27.87 | |
| Number Of Employees | 252 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.91 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.52 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.82 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 754.59 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 120.56 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Arcilia Acosta of tradable shares of Magnolia Oil subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Magnolia Oil Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Magnolia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Magnolia Oil Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Magnolia Oil Gas? Buying financial instruments such as Magnolia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Magnolia Oil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Israel Wall Street Thematic Idea Now
Israel Wall Street
Cross-sector collection of best publicly traded Israel entities that are expected to continue growing. The Israel Wall Street theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Israel Wall Street Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Tools for Magnolia Stock Analysis
When running Magnolia Oil's price analysis, check to measure Magnolia Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magnolia Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Magnolia Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magnolia Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magnolia Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magnolia Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.