Mercer International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MERC Stock | USD 6.24 0.08 1.30% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mercer International is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Mercer International buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MERC positions.
Check out Mercer International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Mercer Stock refer to our How to Trade Mercer Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mercer and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mercer International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Mercer |
Execute Mercer International Buy or Sell Advice
The Mercer recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mercer International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mercer International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mercer International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Excited | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Mercer International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Mercer International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (85.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 359.9 M. | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from patch.com: Disposition of 3155 shares by Heine Eric Xavier of Mercer International at 6.2605 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Mercer International Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mercer International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mercer International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mercer International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mercer International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mercer International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mercer International.
| Mean Return | 0.04 | Value At Risk | -4.78 | Potential Upside | 2.92 | Standard Deviation | 3.49 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mercer International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mercer Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Gates Capital Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 794.4 K | Pictet Asset Manangement Sa | 2024-12-31 | 731.3 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 627.8 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-12-31 | 616.6 K | Keeley-teton Advisors, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 599.6 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 568.6 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 524.2 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 503.4 K | Iat Reinsurance Co Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 16.5 M | Boundary Creek Advisors Lp | 2024-12-31 | 4.2 M |
Mercer International Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 10.0M | (15.5M) | 8.4M | (40.0M) | (129.1M) | (122.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (37.6M) | 21.4M | 181.4M | (205.3M) | 5.9M | 3.5M | |
| Depreciation | 128.9M | 132.2M | 144.2M | 172.5M | 170.8M | 179.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 21.2M | 12.7M | (19.3M) | 95.2M | 36.4M | 38.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 79.2M | 160.8M | 179.2M | 136.3M | 84.3M | 77.4M | |
| Net Income | (17.2M) | 171.0M | 247.0M | (242.1M) | (85.1M) | (80.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 361.1M | 345.6M | 354.0M | 314.0M | 184.9M | 135.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 21.9M | 17.2M | 19.8M | 20.0M | 20.1M | 17.8M | |
| Change To Inventory | (11.4M) | (96.4M) | (63.2M) | (15.8M) | 23.9M | 25.1M | |
| Net Borrowings | 43.2M | 52.7M | 17.0M | 105.3M | 121.1M | 127.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.0M | 6.8M | 33.9M | (5.5M) | (6.4M) | (6.0M) | |
| Investments | 17.5M | (187.1M) | (425.7M) | (153.7M) | (67.0M) | (70.3M) |
Mercer International Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mercer International or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mercer International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mercer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Mercer International Volatility Alert
Mercer International shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mercer International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mercer International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mercer International Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mercer International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mercer International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mercer International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mercer International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mercer International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercer International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mercer International to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mercer International | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.16 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0189 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.10 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.72 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 66.87 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 37.92 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 55.06 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 523.54 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.05 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.97 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.04 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 359.9 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 15.01 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (85.14 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 362.25 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.48 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.48 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.89 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.39 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.43 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 90.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.54 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.27) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.54 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 7.38 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.58 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.23 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 417.27 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.26 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 230.91 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 653.47 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Rettig Rainer of 2570 shares of Mercer International subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mercer International Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mercer . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Mercer International Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mercer International? Buying financial instruments such as Mercer Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Check out Mercer International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Mercer Stock refer to our How to Trade Mercer Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Paper & Forest Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercer International. If investors know Mercer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mercer International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share (1.27) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.038 |
The market value of Mercer International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mercer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mercer International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mercer International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mercer International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mercer International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercer International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mercer International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercer International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.