Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MDGL Stock  USD 348.35  25.33  7.84%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Madrigal Stock please use our How to buy in Madrigal Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Madrigal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice

The Madrigal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Madrigal Pharmaceuticals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Madrigal Pharmaceuticals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Madrigal PharmaceuticalsBuy Madrigal Pharmaceuticals
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Madrigal Pharmaceuticals has a Mean Deviation of 3.0, Semi Deviation of 3.98, Standard Deviation of 4.19, Variance of 17.59, Downside Variance of 17.19 and Semi Variance of 15.86
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Madrigal Pharmaceuticals to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Madrigal Pharmaceuticals. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is not overpriced, please verify all Madrigal Pharmaceuticals fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Madrigal Pharmaceuticals has a number of shares shorted of 3.8 M, we recommend you to check Madrigal Pharmaceuticals market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 180.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (465.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 173.9 M.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 211.77 M in cash with (455.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.38.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1728 shares by Craves Fred B of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals at 65.06 subject to Rule 16b-3

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Madrigal Pharmaceuticals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals.
Mean Return
0.21
Value At Risk
-5.66
Potential Upside
7.64
Standard Deviation
4.19
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Madrigal Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-12-31
371.8 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
325.3 K
Woodline Partners Lp2024-12-31
309.1 K
Rock Springs Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
265.2 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
231.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
218.5 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
217.8 K
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2024-12-31
208.5 K
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership2024-12-31
207.5 K
Hhg Plc2024-12-31
2.2 M
Paulson & Company Inc2024-12-31
M
Note, although Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash7.3M(17.7M)295.3M(231.6M)5.1M5.5M
Free Cash Flow(157.9M)(184.1M)(225.1M)(325.7M)(457.0M)(434.2M)
Depreciation471K405K467K527K696K946.6K
Other Non Cash Items21.8M7.3M797K2.4M2.1M2.0M
Capital Expenditures334K209K217K1.5M1.5M732.3K
Net Income(202.2M)(241.8M)(295.4M)(373.6M)(465.9M)(442.6M)
End Period Cash Flow54.0M36.3M331.5M99.9M105.0M76.0M
Investments160.1M(4.8M)206.7M(502.5M)(274.4M)(260.7M)
Change To Netincome22.8M20.7M26.9M31.6M36.4M38.2M

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Madrigal Pharmaceuticals or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Madrigal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.20
σ
Overall volatility
4.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Volatility Alert

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Madrigal Pharmaceuticals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Madrigal Pharmaceuticals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Madrigal Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Madrigal Pharmaceuticals to competition
FundamentalsMadrigal PharmaceuticalsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.8-0.31
Return On Asset-0.37-0.14
Profit Margin(2.59) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.65) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.88 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding22.08 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders8.74 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions91.26 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.8 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(13.96) X28.72 X
Price To Book10.20 X9.51 X
Price To Sales42.70 X11.42 X
Revenue180.13 M9.43 B
Gross Profit173.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA(450.12 M)3.9 B
Net Income(465.89 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents211.77 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share12.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt983 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.59 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.55 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share34.28 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(455.57 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.85 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(21.91) X3.12 X
Target Price401.67
Number Of Employees52818.84 K
Beta-0.41-0.15
Market Capitalization7.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.04 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.8 B)9.33 B
Working Capital863.65 M1.48 B
Current Asset363.58 K9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 1728 shares by Craves Fred B of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals at 65.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Madrigal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Madrigal Pharmaceuticals? Buying financial instruments such as Madrigal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Madrigal Pharmaceuticals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Recreation Thematic Idea Now

Recreation
Recreation Theme
Companies involved in production and services of recreational goods, foods, and accessories. The Recreation theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Recreation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is a strong investment it is important to analyze Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Madrigal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Madrigal Stock please use our How to buy in Madrigal Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Madrigal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Madrigal Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(21.91)
Revenue Per Share
8.468
Return On Assets
(0.37)
Return On Equity
(0.80)
The market value of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Madrigal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.