Main Street Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MAIN Stock | USD 56.26 1.55 2.83% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Main Street Capital is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Main Street's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Main Street Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Main and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Main Street Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Main |
Execute Main Street Buy or Sell Advice
The Main recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Main Street Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Main Street Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Main Street's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Main Street Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Main Street Capital currently holds 2.32 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Main Street Capital has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Main Street's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 541.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 541.03 M. | |
| Main Street Capital currently holds about 43.38 M in cash with (87.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.59. | |
| Main Street Capital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Main Street Capital Think Twice Before Selling - Seeking Alpha |
Main Street Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Main Street's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Main Street's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Main Street daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Main Street Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Main Street returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Main Street.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -1.97 | Potential Upside | 2.09 | Standard Deviation | 1.30 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Main Street historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Main Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Main Street, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Main Street Capital back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 220.5 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-12-31 | 215.2 K | Smh Capital Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 205.8 K | Trinity Legacy Partners Llc | 2024-12-31 | 205.2 K | Tectonic Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 185.7 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-12-31 | 178.4 K | Denali Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 160.6 K | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 159.2 K | Dnb Nor Asset Management (asia) | 2024-12-31 | 149.6 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 3.4 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M |
Main Street Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (23.3M) | 710K | 16.5M | 11.0M | 18.2M | 19.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (54.1M) | (515.4M) | (246.9M) | 285.3M | (87.1M) | (91.5M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (91.8M) | (776.6M) | (485.0M) | (148.9M) | (95.8M) | (91.0M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 144.5M | 160.5M | 194.2M | 271.6M | 320.4M | 336.4M | |
| Net Income | 29.4M | 330.8M | 241.6M | 428.4M | (46.0M) | (43.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 31.9M | 32.6M | 49.1M | 60.1M | 78.3M | 45.6M | |
| Depreciation | 5.6M | (135.6M) | (24.8M) | 3.3M | 5.2M | 5.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | 115M | 92M | 591.2M | 202M | 232.3M | 180.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | (171.3M) | (92.0M) | (877.2M) | (481.0M) | (432.9M) | (454.5M) |
Main Street Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Main Street or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Main Street's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Main stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Main Street Volatility Alert
Main Street Capital has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.04 and kurtosis of 0.56. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Main Street's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Main Street's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Main Street Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Main Street's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Main Street's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Main Street and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Main Street or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Main Street's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Main Street by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Main Street to competition |
| Fundamentals | Main Street | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0625 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.94 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.89 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.9 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 88.56 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 22.69 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.29 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 85.55 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.73 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 9.21 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 541.03 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 541.03 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 322.6 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (46 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 43.38 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.59 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.32 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.00 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.42 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 31.65 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (87.12 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.26 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.85 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.09 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 55.6 | |
| Number Of Employees | 104 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.27 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.98 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.12 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 402.46 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.08 % | |
| Five Year Return | 6.44 % |
Note: Acquisition by Dunia Shive of tradable shares of Main Street at 49.25 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Main Street Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Main . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Main Street Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Main Street Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Main Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Main Street in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Consumer Discretionary ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Consumer Discretionary ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Consumer Discretionary ETFs theme has 29 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Discretionary ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Main Street Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Main Street. If investors know Main will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Main Street listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.197 | Dividend Share 2.91 | Earnings Share 5.85 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.086 |
The market value of Main Street Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Main that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Main Street's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Main Street's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Main Street's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Main Street's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Main Street's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Main Street is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Main Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.