Lipocine Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LPCN Stock  USD 3.15  0.02  0.64%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Lipocine is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Lipocine's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Lipocine Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Lipocine Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lipocine guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lipocine and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lipocine. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Lipocine Buy or Sell Advice

The Lipocine recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lipocine. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lipocine or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lipocine's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell LipocineBuy Lipocine
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Lipocine has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), Jensen Alpha of (0.58), Total Risk Alpha of (0.56) and Treynor Ratio of (0.57)
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Lipocine. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Lipocine is not overpriced, please verify all Lipocine fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Lipocine has a number of shares shorted of 77.74 K, we recommend you to check Lipocine market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Lipocine Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Lipocine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lipocine has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (16.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.92 M.
Lipocine currently holds about 37.4 M in cash with (11.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42.
Lipocine has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Lipocine Now Covered by StockNews.com

Lipocine Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lipocine's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lipocine's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lipocine daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lipocine price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lipocine returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lipocine.
Mean Return
-0.58
Value At Risk
-7.41
Potential Upside
5.80
Standard Deviation
4.35
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lipocine historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lipocine Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Lipocine, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lipocine back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Group One Trading, Lp2024-09-30
423
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-12-31
227
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
65.0
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
62.0
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
24.0
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
3.0
Tidemark Llc2024-12-31
0.0
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
0.0
Hartland & Co2024-12-31
0.0
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
221.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
89.3 K
Note, although Lipocine's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lipocine Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash9.5M(21.3M)197.9K1.6M1.5M1.5M
Free Cash Flow(15.3M)(4.4M)(12.1M)(11.9M)(10.7M)(11.2M)
Other Non Cash Items109.3K53.8K(932.1K)1.8M2.1M2.2M
Net Income(21.0M)(634.4K)(10.8M)(16.4M)(14.7M)(15.5M)
End Period Cash Flow24.2M3.0M3.1M4.8M4.3M4.1M
Change To Netincome799.4K4.0M248.1K(296.0K)(340.4K)(323.4K)
Depreciation3.6K380.09.5K28.7K25.8K13.3K
Investments3.9M(43.8M)14.3M13.0M14.9M15.6M
Change Receivables(15.4K)22.0K16.1K(246.9K)(222.2K)(211.1K)
Net Borrowings(3.3M)(1.4M)(3.3M)(2.3M)(2.1M)(2.0M)

Lipocine Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lipocine or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lipocine's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lipocine stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
4.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Lipocine Volatility Alert

Lipocine exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.61 and kurtosis of 1.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lipocine's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lipocine's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lipocine Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lipocine's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lipocine's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lipocine and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lipocine or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lipocine's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lipocine by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lipocine to competition
FundamentalsLipocinePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.19-0.31
Return On Asset-0.15-0.14
Profit Margin(0.51) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.67) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(1.75 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.35 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.91 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions9.16 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted77.74 K4.71 M
Price To Earning15.80 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.95 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.11 X11.42 X
Revenue(2.85 M)9.43 B
Gross Profit7.92 M27.38 B
EBITDA(16.32 M)3.9 B
Net Income(16.35 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents37.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.42 X5.01 X
Total Debt17.17 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio22.23 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.58 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(11.87 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.24 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.75) X3.12 X
Target Price10.0
Number Of Employees1718.84 K
Beta1.23-0.15
Market Capitalization16.74 M19.03 B
Total Asset23 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(199.78 M)9.33 B
Working Capital20.23 M1.48 B
Current Asset29.41 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Higuchi John W. of 220000 shares of Lipocine at 0.3161 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Lipocine Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lipocine . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lipocine Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lipocine? Buying financial instruments such as Lipocine Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Lipocine in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Exotic Funds
Exotic Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs with high minimum investment requirement that manage portfolios of alternative investments such as hedge funds, options, futures, real estate or commodities. The Exotic Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Exotic Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Lipocine offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lipocine's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lipocine Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lipocine Stock:
Check out Lipocine Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Lipocine Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lipocine guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lipocine. If investors know Lipocine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lipocine listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.75)
Revenue Per Share
1.486
Quarterly Revenue Growth
137.519
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Return On Equity
(0.20)
The market value of Lipocine is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lipocine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lipocine's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lipocine's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lipocine's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lipocine's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lipocine's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lipocine is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lipocine's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.