Semileds Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LEDS Stock  USD 1.65  0.12  6.78%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding SemiLEDS is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell SemiLEDS given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for SemiLEDS, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out SemiLEDS Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy SemiLEDS Stock please use our How to Invest in SemiLEDS guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as SemiLEDS and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. SemiLEDS. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute SemiLEDS Buy or Sell Advice

The SemiLEDS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on SemiLEDS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in SemiLEDS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute SemiLEDS's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell SemiLEDSBuy SemiLEDS
Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon SemiLEDS has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0883, Jensen Alpha of 0.5277, Total Risk Alpha of 0.5613, Sortino Ratio of 0.0943 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3656
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on SemiLEDS. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure SemiLEDS is not overpriced, please validate all SemiLEDS fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . Please also confirm SemiLEDS number of shares shorted to double-check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

SemiLEDS Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

SemiLEDS is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SemiLEDS may become a speculative penny stock
SemiLEDS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
SemiLEDS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
SemiLEDS currently holds 4.82 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.53, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. SemiLEDS has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SemiLEDS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 5.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.4 M.
SemiLEDS currently holds about 3.02 M in cash with (365 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67.
SemiLEDS has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 53.0% of SemiLEDS outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Seoul Semiconductor Presents a New Paradigm in Lighting with Natural Light Technology

SemiLEDS Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of SemiLEDS's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of SemiLEDS's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of SemiLEDS daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use SemiLEDS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of SemiLEDS returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for SemiLEDS.
Mean Return
0.53
Value At Risk
-6.78
Potential Upside
6.98
Standard Deviation
4.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of SemiLEDS historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

SemiLEDS Stock Institutional Investors

The SemiLEDS's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase SemiLEDS's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Garden State Investment Advisory Services Llc2024-09-30
377.2 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-09-30
0.0
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
39.7 K
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc2024-12-31
18.4 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
15.1 K
Xtx Topco Ltd2024-12-31
13 K
Eastern Bank2024-12-31
12.3 K
Virtu Financial Llc2024-12-31
11.1 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
4.2 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
1.1 K
Sbi Securities Co Ltd2024-12-31
5.0
Note, although SemiLEDS's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

SemiLEDS Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.0M)(940K)(1.0M)28K32.2K33.8K
Change In Cash2.0M(576K)(1.7M)(901K)(810.9K)(770.4K)
Free Cash Flow(1.9M)(1.8M)(1.2M)(488K)(561.2K)(589.3K)
Depreciation897K938K1.0M612K550.8K523.3K
Other Non Cash Items150K746K630K365K328.5K312.1K
Capital Expenditures132K293K228K123K110.7K105.2K
Net Income(2.9M)(2.7M)(2.7M)(2.0M)(2.3M)(2.5M)
End Period Cash Flow5.0M4.5M2.7M1.8M1.7M1.6M
Net Borrowings4.1M1.7M(173K)(482K)(554.3K)(526.6K)
Change To Netincome604K(493K)1.2M1.2M1.1M1.0M
Investments159K(113K)(321K)(101K)(116.2K)(122.0K)

SemiLEDS Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to SemiLEDS or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that SemiLEDS's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SemiLEDS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.42
σ
Overall volatility
5.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

SemiLEDS Volatility Alert

SemiLEDS exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure SemiLEDS's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact SemiLEDS's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

SemiLEDS Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing SemiLEDS's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze SemiLEDS's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between SemiLEDS and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as SemiLEDS or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of SemiLEDS's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SemiLEDS by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare SemiLEDS to competition
FundamentalsSemiLEDSPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.98-0.31
Return On Asset-0.16-0.14
Profit Margin(0.44) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.36) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation16.15 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding7.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders53.48 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions6.60 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted149.4 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(0.45) X28.72 X
Price To Book8.08 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.48 X11.42 X
Revenue5.18 M9.43 B
Gross Profit1.4 M27.38 B
EBITDA(1.17 M)3.9 B
Net Income(2.03 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.02 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.67 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.82 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.53 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.97 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.38 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(365 K)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.22 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.44) X3.12 X
Target Price3.0
Number Of Employees11618.84 K
Beta1.01-0.15
Market Capitalization9.36 M19.03 B
Total Asset11.14 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(188.68 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(1.06 M)1.48 B
Current Asset11.64 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Hsieh Edward Kuan Hsiung of 2500 shares of SemiLEDS subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

SemiLEDS Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SemiLEDS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About SemiLEDS Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell SemiLEDS? Buying financial instruments such as SemiLEDS Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having SemiLEDS in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Business Supplies Thematic Idea Now

Business Supplies
Business Supplies Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Business Supplies theme has 24 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Business Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for SemiLEDS Stock Analysis

When running SemiLEDS's price analysis, check to measure SemiLEDS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SemiLEDS is operating at the current time. Most of SemiLEDS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SemiLEDS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SemiLEDS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SemiLEDS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.