Karat Packaging Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KRT Stock  USD 28.34  0.61  2.11%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Karat Packaging is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Karat Packaging given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Karat Packaging, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Karat Packaging Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Karat Stock please use our How to Invest in Karat Packaging guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Karat and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Karat Packaging. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Karat Packaging Buy or Sell Advice

The Karat recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Karat Packaging. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Karat Packaging or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Karat Packaging's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Karat PackagingBuy Karat Packaging
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Karat Packaging has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), Jensen Alpha of 0.0043, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1332 and Treynor Ratio of (0.11)
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Karat Packaging. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Karat Packaging is not overpriced, please verify all Karat Packaging fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Karat Packaging has a number of shares shorted of 77.81 K, we recommend you to check Karat Packaging market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Karat Packaging Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Karat Packaging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q4 2024 Karat Packaging Inc Earnings Call Transcript

Karat Packaging Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Karat Packaging's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Karat Packaging's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Karat Packaging daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Karat Packaging price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Karat Packaging returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Karat Packaging.
Mean Return
-0.1
Value At Risk
-3.58
Potential Upside
3.13
Standard Deviation
1.98
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Karat Packaging historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Karat Stock Institutional Investors

The Karat Packaging's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Karat Packaging's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-12-31
120.6 K
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2024-12-31
109.6 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-12-31
104.5 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
84 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
79.6 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-12-31
65.7 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-12-31
58.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
56.3 K
O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
55.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
436 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
398.3 K
Note, although Karat Packaging's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Karat Packaging Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(13.8M)(9.4M)(16.2M)(3.8M)(3.4M)(3.6M)
Investments(37.4M)(13.3M)(5.1M)(22.6M)(26.0M)(27.3M)
Change In Cash(354K)6.0M9.6M7.0M8.1M8.5M
Net Borrowings24.7M23.3M(57.1M)(21.6M)(19.4M)(18.4M)
Free Cash Flow(21.9M)(3.7M)14.7M44.0M48.0M50.4M
Depreciation8.6M10.0M14.2M15.8M18.1M9.7M
Other Non Cash Items12K(6.4M)2.8M7.1M51.8M54.3M
Capital Expenditures34.8M36.5M12.4M14.7M9.3M0.0
Net Income16.7M22.4M25.8M32.5M37.3M39.2M
End Period Cash Flow448K6.5M16.0M23.1M26.5M27.9M
Change To Netincome(55K)5.1M(3.2M)394K354.6K562.3K

Karat Packaging Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Karat Packaging or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Karat Packaging's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Karat stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.0029

Karat Packaging Volatility Alert

Karat Packaging exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.17 and kurtosis of 0.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Karat Packaging's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Karat Packaging's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Karat Packaging Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Karat Packaging's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Karat Packaging's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Karat Packaging and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Karat Packaging or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Karat Packaging's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Karat Packaging by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Karat Packaging to competition
FundamentalsKarat PackagingPeer Average
Return On Equity0.19-0.31
Return On Asset0.0807-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation613.21 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding20.02 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders66.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions26.32 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted77.81 K4.71 M
Price To Earning13.97 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.69 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.34 X11.42 X
Revenue422.63 M9.43 B
Gross Profit164.33 M27.38 B
EBITDA37.76 M3.9 B
Net Income32.47 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.16 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.37 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.59 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.86 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations47.98 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.35 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.41 X3.12 X
Target Price33.0
Beta1.05-0.15
Market Capitalization567.48 M19.03 B
Total Asset294.52 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings67.68 M9.33 B
Working Capital110.53 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.06 %
Net Asset294.52 M
Note: Acquisition by Alan Yu of 4000 shares of Karat Packaging at 13.47 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Karat Packaging Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Karat . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Karat Packaging Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Karat Packaging? Buying financial instruments such as Karat Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Karat Packaging in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Toys Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Karat Stock Analysis

When running Karat Packaging's price analysis, check to measure Karat Packaging's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Karat Packaging is operating at the current time. Most of Karat Packaging's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Karat Packaging's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Karat Packaging's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Karat Packaging to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.