Jumia Technologies Ag Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| JMIA Stock | USD 2.34 0.05 2.18% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Jumia Technologies AG is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Jumia Technologies buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding JMIA positions.
Check out Jumia Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Jumia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Jumia Technologies AG. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Jumia |
Execute Jumia Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
The Jumia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Jumia Technologies AG. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Jumia Technologies AG or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Jumia Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Very Weak | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Jumia Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Jumia Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jumia Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 167.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (97.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 112.71 M. | |
| Jumia Technologies AG currently holds about 284.73 M in cash with (57.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Jumia Technologies has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jumia Technologies Full Year 2024 Earnings US0.90 loss per share |
Jumia Technologies Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Jumia Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Jumia Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Jumia Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Jumia Technologies AG price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Jumia Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Jumia Technologies.
| Mean Return | -0.87 | Value At Risk | -6.99 | Potential Upside | 5.76 | Standard Deviation | 5.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Jumia Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Jumia Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-12-31 | 746.8 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-12-31 | 626.9 K | Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa | 2024-12-31 | 381.8 K | Sbi Securities Co Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 306.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 244.2 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 216.8 K | Graham Capital Management | 2024-12-31 | 210 K | International Assets Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 145.8 K | Simplex Trading, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 144.4 K | Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. | 2024-12-31 | 8.8 M | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 4.3 M |
Jumia Technologies Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 2.7M | (3.8M) | (4.0M) | (236K) | 834K | 875.7K | |
| Investments | 60.0M | (399.6M) | 212.8M | 91.1M | (10.4M) | (10.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | 203.4M | (256.8M) | (45.0M) | (36.1M) | 19.9M | 20.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | (3.8M) | (4.0M) | (5.1M) | (7.2M) | (6.5M) | (6.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (152.3M) | (178.3M) | (251.3M) | (75.2M) | (60.9M) | (63.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 12.3M | 9.7M | 11.6M | 9.8M | 8.3M | 9.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 838.7K | (2.3M) | 17.7M | 6.8M | 27.1M | 28.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.8M | 7.2M | 11.2M | 2.3M | 3.7M | 6.0M | |
| Net Income | (238.8M) | (226.3M) | (231.0M) | (103.5M) | (97.6M) | (102.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 459.9M | 117.1M | 72.1M | 35.5M | 55.4M | 52.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 47.3M | 44.6M | 26.3M | 32.8M | 29.5M | 29.4M |
Jumia Technologies Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Jumia Technologies or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Jumia Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Jumia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Jumia Technologies Volatility Alert
Jumia Technologies AG exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.92 and kurtosis of 9.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Jumia Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Jumia Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Jumia Technologies Implied Volatility
Jumia Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jumia Technologies AG stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jumia Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jumia Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jumia Technologies' options are near their expiration.
Jumia Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Jumia Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Jumia Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Jumia Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Jumia Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Jumia Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jumia Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Jumia Technologies to competition |
| Fundamentals | Jumia Technologies | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.02 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.15 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.54) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.55) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 157.69 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 122.46 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.50 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 28.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.93 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (1.81) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.23 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.71 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 167.49 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 112.71 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (86.39 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (97.56 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 284.73 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.85 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 11.2 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.06 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.69 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (57.2 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.83 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.81) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 3.81 | |
| Beta | 2.87 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 475.16 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 192.07 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.17 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 73.61 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 238.99 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 110.94 M | 7.9 B |
Jumia Technologies Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Jumia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Jumia Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Jumia Technologies AG? Buying financial instruments such as Jumia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Jumia Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jumia Technologies. If investors know Jumia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jumia Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Jumia Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jumia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jumia Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jumia Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jumia Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jumia Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jumia Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jumia Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jumia Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.