Intrepid Potash Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| IPI Stock | USD 25.43 0.44 1.76% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Intrepid Potash is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Intrepid Potash's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Intrepid Potash Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Intrepid Stock please use our How to Invest in Intrepid Potash guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Intrepid and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Intrepid Potash. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Intrepid |
Execute Intrepid Potash Buy or Sell Advice
The Intrepid recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Intrepid Potash. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Intrepid Potash or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Intrepid Potash's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Intrepid Potash Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Intrepid Potash generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 279.08 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (35.67 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 31.82 M. | |
| Intrepid Potash has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Nutrien Ltd. Director Michael Jeremiah Hennigan Acquires 5,000 Shares |
Intrepid Potash Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Intrepid Potash's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Intrepid Potash's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Intrepid Potash daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Intrepid Potash price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Intrepid Potash returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Intrepid Potash.
| Mean Return | -0.09 | Value At Risk | -3.69 | Potential Upside | 3.73 | Standard Deviation | 2.71 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Intrepid Potash historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Intrepid Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 103.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 89.6 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 87.3 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 79.7 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 79.2 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-12-31 | 76 K | Manufacturers Life Insurance Co | 2024-12-31 | 73.2 K | Glenorchy Capital Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 62.9 K | Peapod Lane Capital Llc | 2024-12-31 | 57.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 940.4 K | Gate City Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 838.9 K |
Intrepid Potash Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (291K) | 7.4M | (33.3M) | 6.5M | 7.5M | 7.8M | |
| Change In Cash | (1.1M) | 17.0M | (18.1M) | (14.4M) | (13.0M) | (12.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 14.7M | 59.3M | 20.1M | (21.8M) | (25.1M) | (23.9M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 6.1M | 2.2M | (12.6M) | 57.8M | 66.4M | 69.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 16.4M | 19.8M | 68.7M | 65.1M | 58.6M | 59.7M | |
| Net Income | (27.2M) | 249.8M | 72.2M | (35.7M) | (32.1M) | (30.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 20.2M | 37.1M | 19.1M | 4.7M | 4.2M | 4.0M | |
| Depreciation | 36.1M | 36.0M | 35.0M | 36.2M | 41.6M | 59.8M | |
| Investments | (15.2M) | (1.1M) | 2.5M | (85.4M) | (76.8M) | (73.0M) | |
| Change Receivables | 687K | 549K | (12.0M) | 8.8M | 10.1M | 10.6M | |
| Net Borrowings | 19.3M | (16.9M) | (45.3M) | (1.0M) | (906.3K) | (951.6K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 6.5M | 3.5M | (218.7M) | 36.3M | 32.6M | 36.4M |
Intrepid Potash Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Intrepid Potash or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Intrepid Potash's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Intrepid stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Intrepid Potash Volatility Alert
Intrepid Potash exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.09 and kurtosis of 3.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Intrepid Potash's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Intrepid Potash's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Intrepid Potash Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Intrepid Potash's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Intrepid Potash's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Intrepid Potash and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Intrepid Potash or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Intrepid Potash's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intrepid Potash by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Intrepid Potash to competition |
| Fundamentals | Intrepid Potash | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0615 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0025 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.21) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 293.47 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 13.23 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 23.65 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 54.21 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 269 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.71 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.50 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.60 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 279.08 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 31.82 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (2.52 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (35.67 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 18.51 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.14 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.19 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.03 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 56.52 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 43.23 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.31 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (3.38) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.34 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 21.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 485 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.24 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 330.55 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 768.47 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 40.79 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 105.48 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 5600 shares by Robert Jornayvaz of Intrepid Potash at 27.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Intrepid Potash Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Intrepid . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Intrepid Potash Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Intrepid Potash? Buying financial instruments such as Intrepid Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Intrepid Potash Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Intrepid Stock please use our How to Invest in Intrepid Potash guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intrepid Potash. If investors know Intrepid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intrepid Potash listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | Earnings Share (3.38) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Intrepid Potash is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intrepid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intrepid Potash's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intrepid Potash's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intrepid Potash's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intrepid Potash's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intrepid Potash's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intrepid Potash is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intrepid Potash's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.