Heron Therapeuti Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HRTX Stock  USD 2.32  0.09  3.73%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Heron Therapeuti is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Heron Therapeuti given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Heron Therapeuti, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Heron Therapeuti Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Heron Stock please use our How to Invest in Heron Therapeuti guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Heron and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Heron Therapeuti. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Heron Therapeuti Buy or Sell Advice

The Heron recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Heron Therapeuti. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Heron Therapeuti or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Heron Therapeuti's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Heron TherapeutiBuy Heron Therapeuti
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Heron Therapeuti has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0993, Jensen Alpha of 0.7601, Total Risk Alpha of 1.53, Sortino Ratio of 0.1719 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4954
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Heron Therapeuti. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Heron Therapeuti is not overpriced, please check out all Heron Therapeuti fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Please also validate Heron Therapeuti price to earning to confirm your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Heron Therapeuti Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Heron Therapeuti is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Heron Therapeuti appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Heron Therapeuti has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 144.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.95 M.
Heron Therapeuti currently holds about 83.54 M in cash with (22.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: TANG KEVIN Cs Strategic Acquisition of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Shares

Heron Therapeuti Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Heron Therapeuti's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Heron Therapeuti's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Heron Therapeuti daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Heron Therapeuti price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Heron Therapeuti returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Heron Therapeuti.
Mean Return
0.60
Value At Risk
-5.88
Potential Upside
8.02
Standard Deviation
5.59
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Heron Therapeuti historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Heron Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Heron Therapeuti, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Heron Therapeuti back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
2.8 M
Congress Park Capital Llc2024-12-31
2.5 M
Jw Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
2.3 M
Tang Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Orchard Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.9 M
Clearline Capital Lp2024-12-31
1.8 M
New York State Common Retirement Fund2024-12-31
1.3 M
Monaco Asset Management2024-12-31
1.2 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
1.2 M
Rubric Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
26.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
8.6 M
Note, although Heron Therapeuti's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Heron Therapeuti Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(16.9M)(6.5M)(6.2M)12.5M(11.1M)(10.5M)
Change In Cash33.2M(14.6M)(75.2M)13.3M(2.9M)(2.7M)
Free Cash Flow(191.6M)(206.4M)(148.7M)(60.3M)(24.2M)(25.4M)
Depreciation2.8M3.0M2.9M2.9M2.5M2.6M
Other Non Cash Items1.4M904K(251K)(773K)3.2M3.4M
Capital Expenditures6.8M3.0M1.8M1.5M1.7M1.8M
Net Income(227.3M)(220.7M)(182.0M)(110.6M)(13.6M)(14.3M)
End Period Cash Flow105.1M90.5M15.4M28.7M25.8M28.5M
Change Receivables(22.8M)24.8M(2.0M)6.4M7.3M7.7M
Change To Netincome51.6M51.1M48.5M42.5M48.9M29.2M
Investments215.8M35.7M(3.3M)28.9M18.7M19.6M

Heron Therapeuti Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Heron Therapeuti or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Heron Therapeuti's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Heron stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.19
σ
Overall volatility
5.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Heron Therapeuti Volatility Alert

Heron Therapeuti shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Heron Therapeuti's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Heron Therapeuti's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Heron Therapeuti Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Heron Therapeuti's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Heron Therapeuti's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Heron Therapeuti and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Heron Therapeuti or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Heron Therapeuti's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Heron Therapeuti by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Heron Therapeuti to competition
FundamentalsHeron TherapeutiPeer Average
Return On Equity-24.09-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0316-0.14
Profit Margin(0.09) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation471.88 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding152.33 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.77 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions76.80 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted30.77 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(5.15) X28.72 X
Price To Book12.60 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.45 X11.42 X
Revenue144.28 M9.43 B
Gross Profit88.95 M27.38 B
EBITDA(5.06 M)3.9 B
Net Income(13.58 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents83.54 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.81 X5.01 X
Total Debt177.76 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity6.64 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.77 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.22) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(22.53 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio15.90 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.09) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.18) X4.89 X
Target Price6.0
Number Of Employees12218.84 K
Beta1.55-0.15
Market Capitalization353.41 M19.03 B
Total Asset233.15 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.92 B)9.33 B
Working Capital117.56 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Morgan Adam of 17950 shares of Heron Therapeuti subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Heron Therapeuti Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Heron . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Heron Therapeuti Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Heron Therapeuti? Buying financial instruments such as Heron Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Heron Stock Analysis

When running Heron Therapeuti's price analysis, check to measure Heron Therapeuti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heron Therapeuti is operating at the current time. Most of Heron Therapeuti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heron Therapeuti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heron Therapeuti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heron Therapeuti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.