Hercules Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HCXY Stock | USD 25.02 0.03 0.12% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hercules Capital is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hercules Capital given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hercules Capital, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Hercules Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Hercules Stock please use our How to Invest in Hercules Capital guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hercules and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hercules Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
Hercules |
Execute Hercules Capital Buy or Sell Advice
The Hercules recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hercules Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hercules Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hercules Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Hercules Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hercules Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hercules Capital has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| On 30th of October 2024 Hercules Capital paid $ 0.3906 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hercules Capitals SWOT analysis venture lenders stock resilience amid market shifts - Investing.com Canada |
Hercules Capital Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hercules Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hercules Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hercules Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hercules Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hercules Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hercules Capital.
| Mean Return | 0 | Value At Risk | -0.67 | Potential Upside | 0.68 | Standard Deviation | 0.41 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hercules Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hercules Capital Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 69.1M | 122.6M | (101.4M) | (110.4M) | 90.1M | 94.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (241.3M) | 207.7M | 128.5M | (424.9M) | 67.4M | 70.8M | |
| Depreciation | 262K | 415K | 317K | 204K | 190K | 215.7K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.6M) | (25.6M) | (59.2M) | (521.7M) | (252.2M) | (264.8M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 595K | 137K | 106K | 114K | 887K | 931.4K | |
| Net Income | 173.6M | 227.3M | 174.2M | 102.1M | 337.5M | 354.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 115.0M | 237.6M | 136.3M | 25.9M | 116.0M | 105.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 132.1M | 152.4M | 175.5M | 245.1M | (273.7M) | (260.0M) |
Hercules Capital Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hercules Capital or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hercules Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hercules stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Hercules Capital Volatility Alert
Hercules Capital exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.14 and kurtosis of 3.86. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hercules Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hercules Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hercules Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hercules Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hercules Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hercules Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hercules Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hercules Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hercules Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hercules Capital to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hercules Capital | Peer Average |
| Price To Earning | 17.51 X | 28.72 X |
| Revenue | 434.43 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 190.88 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 405.29 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 337.48 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 59.46 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.63 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.56 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 83.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.57 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.27 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 68.28 M | 971.22 M |
| Number Of Employees | 67 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.86 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.32 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.42 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 140.01 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.06 % | |
| Net Asset | 3.42 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.24 |
Note: Acquisition by Aguirre Deanne of 1693 shares of Hercules Capital subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hercules Capital Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hercules . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 167.66 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.07) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.84 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.16 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
About Hercules Capital Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hercules Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Hercules Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Hercules Stock Analysis
When running Hercules Capital's price analysis, check to measure Hercules Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hercules Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Hercules Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hercules Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hercules Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hercules Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.