Genesis Energy (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GNE Stock   2.04  0.03  1.49%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Genesis Energy is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Genesis Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Genesis Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Genesis Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Genesis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Genesis Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Genesis Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Genesis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Genesis Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Genesis Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Genesis Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Genesis EnergyBuy Genesis Energy
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Genesis Energy has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0328, Jensen Alpha of 0.0527, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0248, Sortino Ratio of 0.0229 and Treynor Ratio of 0.487
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Genesis Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Genesis Energy is not overpriced, please check out all Genesis Energy fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, revenue, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to sales .

Genesis Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Genesis Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Genesis Energy stock hits 52-week low at 10.01 amid market challenges - Investing.com

Genesis Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Genesis Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Genesis Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Genesis Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Genesis Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Genesis Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Genesis Energy.
Mean Return
0.06
Value At Risk
-3.02
Potential Upside
3.74
Standard Deviation
1.93
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Genesis Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Genesis Energy Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory4.8M(109.7M)2.7M112.7M129.6M136.1M
Change In Cash71.8M1.3M(45.5M)132.7M152.6M160.2M
Free Cash Flow251.8M182.5M343.7M288.1M331.3M273.2M
Depreciation178.2M199.5M236.1M237M272.6M193.8M
Other Non Cash Items211.2M(148.7M)(10.3M)32.5M29.3M28.4M
Dividends Paid162.3M164.8M145.5M128.3M147.5M152.9M
Net Income31.7M221.9M195.7M131.1M150.8M116.1M
End Period Cash Flow104.3M105.6M60.1M192.8M221.7M232.8M
Net Borrowings(28.6M)72.4M78.1M(143.7M)(129.3M)(122.9M)
Change To Netincome40.1M75M(57.5M)(50.4M)(45.4M)(43.1M)
Investments(15.2M)(18.5M)(104.6M)(172.3M)(155.1M)(147.3M)

Genesis Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Genesis Energy or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Genesis Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Genesis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
1.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Genesis Energy Volatility Alert

Genesis Energy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.56 and kurtosis of 0.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Genesis Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Genesis Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Genesis Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Genesis Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Genesis Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Genesis Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Genesis Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Genesis Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genesis Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Genesis Energy to competition
FundamentalsGenesis EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0516-0.31
Return On Asset0.0184-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.37 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.09 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders51.18 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.00 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.92 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.73 X11.42 X
Revenue3.05 B9.43 B
Gross Profit514 M27.38 B
EBITDA506.6 M3.9 B
Net Income131.1 M570.98 M
Total Debt1.45 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.48 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations439.8 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.11 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.72 X4.89 X
Target Price2.3
Number Of Employees1.21 K18.84 K
Beta0.42-0.15
Market Capitalization2.23 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.64 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(53.1 M)9.33 B
Working Capital129.7 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.06 %
Net Asset5.64 B
Last Dividend Paid0.14

Genesis Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Genesis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Genesis Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Genesis Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Genesis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Genesis Stock Analysis

When running Genesis Energy's price analysis, check to measure Genesis Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genesis Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Genesis Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genesis Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genesis Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genesis Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.