Gfl Environmental Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GFL Stock  USD 46.28  0.29  0.63%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gfl Environmental Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Gfl Environmental's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Gfl Environmental Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gfl and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Gfl Environmental Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Gfl Environmental Buy or Sell Advice

The Gfl recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gfl Environmental Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gfl Environmental Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gfl Environmental's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gfl EnvironmentalBuy Gfl Environmental
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Gfl Environmental Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0159, Jensen Alpha of 0.0616, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2066, Sortino Ratio of 0.0865 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0225
Our trade recommendations tool can be used to complement Gfl Environmental Holdings advice provided by experts. It analyzes the entity's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Gfl Environmental Holdings is not overpriced, please check out all Gfl Environmental fundamentals, including its cash per share, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Gfl Environmental has a price to book of 3.74 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Gfl Environmental market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Gfl Environmental Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Gfl Environmental Holdings has 10.55 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.5, which is OK given its current industry classification. Gfl Environmental has a current ratio of 0.62, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Gfl to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 7.86 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (737.7 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.49 B.
Over 80.0% of Gfl Environmental shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of January 2025 Gfl Environmental paid $ 0.014 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: National Bank Financial Weighs in on GFL Q1 Earnings

Gfl Environmental Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gfl Environmental's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gfl Environmental's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gfl Environmental daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gfl Environmental Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gfl Environmental returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gfl Environmental.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-2.11
Potential Upside
2.97
Standard Deviation
1.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gfl Environmental historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gfl Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Nordea Investment Mgmt Bank Demark A/s2024-12-31
4.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
3.9 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-12-31
3.9 M
Maverick Capital Ltd2024-12-31
3.8 M
Soros Fund Management Llc2024-12-31
3.2 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
2.8 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
2.7 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
2.4 M
Cibc Global Asset Management Inc2024-12-31
M
Bc Partners Advisors L.p.2024-12-31
43.6 M
Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board2024-12-31
35.4 M
Note, although Gfl Environmental's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Gfl Environmental Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments(4.4B)(2.7B)(1.7B)(205.7M)(1.7B)(1.8B)
Change In Cash(547.6M)163.2M(108.3M)53.6M(1.9M)(1.8M)
Net Borrowings1.5B(618.4M)1.7B610.9M549.8M945.3M
Free Cash Flow73.9M250.7M316.2M(74.7M)347.2M364.6M
Depreciation1.2B1.4B1.5B1.5B1.6B1.1B
Other Non Cash Items577.3M218.1M83.4M(513.4M)830.4M871.9M
Capital Expenditures428.3M647.2M780.1M1.1B1.2B623.5M
Net Income(994.9M)(606.8M)(311.1M)45.4M(737.7M)(700.8M)
End Period Cash Flow27.2M190.4M82.1M135.7M133.8M142.5M
Change To Netincome(31.5M)218.2M157.8M(45.7M)(52.6M)(49.9M)

Gfl Environmental Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gfl Environmental or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gfl Environmental's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gfl stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
1.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Gfl Environmental Volatility Alert

Gfl Environmental Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.56 and kurtosis of 1.67. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gfl Environmental's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gfl Environmental's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gfl Environmental Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gfl Environmental's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gfl Environmental's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gfl Environmental and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gfl Environmental or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gfl Environmental's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gfl Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gfl Environmental to competition
FundamentalsGfl EnvironmentalPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0157-0.14
Profit Margin(0.09) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation25.34 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding381.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.96 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions80.10 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.18 M4.71 M
Price To Book3.74 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.32 X11.42 X
Revenue7.86 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.49 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.2 B3.9 B
Net Income(737.7 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents230.6 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.67 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.55 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.63 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share17.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.54 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.25 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.46) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(1.15) X4.89 X
Target Price51.07
Number Of Employees20 K18.84 K
Beta1.05-0.15
Market Capitalization18.21 B19.03 B
Total Asset21.21 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.57 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(1.46 B)1.48 B
Current Asset1.27 B9.34 B

Gfl Environmental Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gfl . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gfl Environmental Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gfl Environmental Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Gfl Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Gfl Environmental in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Chemicals Makers Theme
Companies developing chemicals for crops, soil as well as human, and animals. The Chemicals Makers theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Chemicals Makers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Gfl Environmental is a strong investment it is important to analyze Gfl Environmental's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Gfl Environmental's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Gfl Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Gfl Environmental Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gfl Environmental. If investors know Gfl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gfl Environmental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.972
Dividend Share
0.081
Earnings Share
(1.46)
Revenue Per Share
20.644
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
The market value of Gfl Environmental is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gfl that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gfl Environmental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gfl Environmental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gfl Environmental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gfl Environmental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gfl Environmental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gfl Environmental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gfl Environmental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.