Guardforce Ai Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GFAI Stock  USD 1.06  0.06  6.00%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Guardforce AI Co is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Guardforce's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Guardforce Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guardforce and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Guardforce AI Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Guardforce Buy or Sell Advice

The Guardforce recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guardforce AI Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guardforce AI Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guardforce's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell GuardforceBuy Guardforce
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Abnormally volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Guardforce AI Co has a Mean Deviation of 7.76, Semi Deviation of 8.35, Standard Deviation of 12.91, Variance of 166.6, Downside Variance of 80.42 and Semi Variance of 69.78
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Guardforce. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Guardforce AI Co is not overpriced, please check out all Guardforce fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and gross profit . Given that Guardforce AI Co is a hitting penny stock territory we urge to closely look at its number of shares shorted.

Guardforce Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Guardforce AI had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Guardforce AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.71 M.
Guardforce AI Co currently holds about 7.73 M in cash with (1.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.
Guardforce AI has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Guardforce AI Shares Down 10.3 percent Heres What Happened - Defense World

Guardforce Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Guardforce's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guardforce's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guardforce daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guardforce AI Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guardforce returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guardforce.
Mean Return
0.32
Value At Risk
-12
Potential Upside
21.90
Standard Deviation
12.91
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guardforce historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Guardforce Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Abich Financial Wealth Management Llc2024-09-30
0.0
Qube Research & Technologies2024-09-30
0.0
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-12-31
0.0
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
0.0
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
96.5 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
62.2 K
Alpine Partners Vi, Llc2024-12-31
50 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
25 K
Virtu Financial Llc2024-12-31
24.8 K
Squarepoint Ops Llc2024-12-31
19.1 K
Sbi Securities Co Ltd2024-12-31
9.6 K
Note, although Guardforce's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Guardforce Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash2.3M5.9M(7.4M)13.7M15.8M16.6M
Net Borrowings(1.5M)(884.9K)(1.7M)(2.4M)(2.2M)(2.1M)
Free Cash Flow3.2M(5.2M)(26.8M)(3.3M)(3.0M)(3.1M)
Depreciation5.0M5.0M6.0M5.2M6.0M4.9M
Other Non Cash Items2.1M11.3M6.8M21.5M24.8M26.0M
Capital Expenditures1.4M5.2M7.6M2.1M2.4M3.2M
Net Income(3.1M)(5.5M)(18.6M)(29.6M)(26.6M)(25.3M)
End Period Cash Flow8.4M14.3M6.9M22.0M25.3M26.5M
Change To Netincome521.6K2.4M361.0K7.2M8.2M8.7M
Investments(1.4M)(5.2M)(8.7M)(2.1M)(1.9M)(2.0M)

Guardforce Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guardforce or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guardforce's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guardforce stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.13
σ
Overall volatility
12.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Guardforce Volatility Alert

Guardforce AI Co is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Guardforce AI Co is a potential penny stock. Although Guardforce may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Guardforce AI Co. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Guardforce instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Guardforce Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Guardforce's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guardforce's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guardforce and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guardforce or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guardforce's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guardforce by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guardforce to competition
FundamentalsGuardforcePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.73-0.31
Return On Asset-0.16-0.14
Profit Margin(0.49) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.12) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.51 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding19.55 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.53 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.53 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.36 M4.71 M
Price To Book0.82 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.58 X11.42 X
Revenue36.28 M9.43 B
Gross Profit5.71 M27.38 B
EBITDA(23.29 M)3.9 B
Net Income(29.59 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents7.73 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.14 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.64 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.77 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.31 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(1.19 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.89 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.36) X3.12 X
Target Price4.5
Number Of Employees1.73 K18.84 K
Beta2.75-0.15
Market Capitalization20.73 M19.03 B
Total Asset45.81 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(58.34 M)9.33 B
Working Capital17.11 M1.48 B
Net Asset45.81 M

Guardforce Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guardforce . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Guardforce Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Guardforce AI Co? Buying financial instruments such as Guardforce Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Guardforce in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Entertainment
Entertainment Theme
Companies from entertainment industry including show business, news and media. The Entertainment theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Entertainment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Guardforce AI is a strong investment it is important to analyze Guardforce's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Guardforce's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Guardforce Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Guardforce Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guardforce. If investors know Guardforce will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guardforce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.36)
Revenue Per Share
3.606
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
(0.16)
Return On Equity
(0.73)
The market value of Guardforce AI is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guardforce that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guardforce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guardforce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guardforce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guardforce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guardforce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guardforce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guardforce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.