Five Star Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FSBC Stock  USD 33.05  0.06  0.18%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Five Star Bancorp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Five Star buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FSBC positions.
  
Check out Five Star Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Five and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Five Star Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Five Star Buy or Sell Advice

The Five recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Five Star Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Five Star Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Five Star's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Five StarBuy Five Star
Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Five Star Bancorp has a Mean Deviation of 1.41, Semi Deviation of 1.48, Standard Deviation of 2.1, Variance of 4.39, Downside Variance of 2.87 and Semi Variance of 2.18
Our advice module can be used to complement Five Star investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Five Star is not overpriced, please confirm all Five Star Bancorp fundamentals, including its cash per share, earnings per share, and the relationship between the ebitda and book value per share . Given that Five Star Bancorp has a number of shares shorted of 178.94 K, we urge you to verify Five Star Bancorp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Five Star Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Five Star Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of November 2024 Five Star paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Five Star Bancorp stock hits 52-week high at 32.23 - Investing.com

Five Star Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Five Star's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Five Star's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Five Star daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Five Star Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Five Star returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Five Star.
Mean Return
0.22
Value At Risk
-3.03
Potential Upside
2.64
Standard Deviation
2.10
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Five Star historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Five Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Maltese Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
301.1 K
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, Llc2024-09-30
270.3 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
199.5 K
Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc2024-09-30
169.8 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
162.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
150.1 K
Banc Funds Co Llc2024-09-30
148.9 K
Brighton Jones Llc2024-09-30
141.3 K
Siena Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
134.8 K
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-09-30
M
Davis Asset Management, L.p.2024-09-30
1.5 M
Note, although Five Star's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Five Star Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(25.9M)113.1M134.8M(165.3M)61.6M64.7M
Free Cash Flow28.4M50.6M27.9M45.5M38.3M26.5M
Depreciation433K461K607K649K1.6M1.7M
Other Non Cash Items(2.6M)12.0M(7.7M)(452K)(9.0M)(8.5M)
Capital Expenditures508K833K717K481K653K658.6K
Net Income29.3M35.9M42.4M44.8M47.7M27.7M
End Period Cash Flow177.4M290.5M425.3M260.0M321.6M206.1M

Five Star Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Five Star or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Five Star's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Five stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.84
σ
Overall volatility
2.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Five Star Volatility Alert

Five Star Bancorp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.83 and kurtosis of 9.52. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Five Star's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Five Star's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Five Star Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Five Star's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Five Star's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Five Star and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Five Star or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Five Star's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Five Star by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Five Star to competition
FundamentalsFive StarPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0117-0.14
Profit Margin0.38 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.54 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation528.45 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding21.32 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders26.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions56.22 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted178.94 K4.71 M
Price To Earning7.80 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.80 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.21 X11.42 X
Revenue7.51 M9.43 B
Gross Profit103.53 M27.38 B
EBITDA(1.61 M)3.9 B
Net Income47.73 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents327.88 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share19.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt249.35 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity10.76 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share18.29 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations38.91 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.10 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.26 X3.12 X
Target Price34.67
Number Of Employees18018.84 K
Beta0.4-0.15
Market Capitalization702.46 M19.03 B
Total Asset3.59 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings77.04 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset3.59 B
Last Dividend Paid0.8
Note: Disposition of 1000 shares by James Beckwith of Five Star at 28.48 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Five Star Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Five . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Five Star Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Five Star Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Five Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Five Star in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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It encompasses large technology companies, automotive makers, security firms, and thematic ETFs across multiple industries. These entities are directly or indirectly involved in shaping the development and marketing of self-driving vehicles. The Driverless Cars theme has 36 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Driverless Cars Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Five Star Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Five Star's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Five Star Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Five Star Bancorp Stock:
Check out Five Star Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five Star. If investors know Five will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five Star listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
2.26
Revenue Per Share
5.91
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.043
The market value of Five Star Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five Star's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five Star's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five Star's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five Star's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five Star's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five Star is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five Star's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.