Fulgent Genetics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FLGT Stock  USD 17.05  0.20  1.19%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Fulgent Genetics is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Fulgent Genetics given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Fulgent Genetics, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Fulgent Genetics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Fulgent Stock please use our How to Invest in Fulgent Genetics guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Fulgent and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Fulgent Genetics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Fulgent Genetics Buy or Sell Advice

The Fulgent recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Fulgent Genetics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Fulgent Genetics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Fulgent Genetics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

30  Days

Risk Tolerance

I am an educated risk taker
Execute Advice
Sell Fulgent GeneticsBuy Fulgent Genetics
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Fulgent Genetics has a Mean Deviation of 1.84, Standard Deviation of 2.58 and Variance of 6.68
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Fulgent Genetics and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Fulgent Genetics is not overpriced, please confirm all Fulgent Genetics fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Fulgent Genetics has a price to earning of 3.95 X, we urge you to verify Fulgent Genetics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Fulgent Genetics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Fulgent Genetics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 283.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107.22 M.
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Intech Investment Management LLC Increases Holdings in Fulgent Genetics, Inc.

Fulgent Genetics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Fulgent Genetics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Fulgent Genetics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Fulgent Genetics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Fulgent Genetics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Fulgent Genetics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Fulgent Genetics.
Mean Return
-0.13
Value At Risk
-3.8
Potential Upside
3.85
Standard Deviation
2.58
   Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-10.31-7.7-5.09-2.610.02.564.997.5510.1VARUpside 0.010.020.030.040.050.06
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GOOGLE
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Fulgent Genetics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Fulgent Stock Institutional Investors

The Fulgent Genetics' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Fulgent Genetics' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
226.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
225.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
210.2 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
181.7 K
Barclays Plc2024-12-31
180.4 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
170.8 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
157.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
149.9 K
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-12-31
143.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.9 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
1.5 M
Note, although Fulgent Genetics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Fulgent Genetics Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments(289.9M)(460.9M)(261.3M)38.9M(58.4M)(61.3M)
Change In Cash75.5M77.5M(85.4M)18.0M20.7M11.4M
Free Cash Flow104.1M514.7M234.7M4.8M(19.3M)(18.3M)
Depreciation3.0M11.0M32.7M26.1M22.2M23.3M
Other Non Cash Items8.0M16.0M43.5M115.3M4.9M4.6M
Capital Expenditures36.5M23.8M18.8M22.2M40.3M42.3M
Net Income214.3M506.2M141.9M(167.8M)(43.8M)(41.6M)
End Period Cash Flow87.4M164.9M79.5M97.5M112.1M56.1M
Change To Netincome4.2M8.7M22.9M75.5M86.8M91.1M
Change Receivables(2.0M)(839K)(178.5M)42.3M38.1M40.0M

Fulgent Genetics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fulgent Genetics or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fulgent Genetics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fulgent stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
2.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Fulgent Genetics Volatility Alert

Fulgent Genetics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.07 and kurtosis of 2.75. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fulgent Genetics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fulgent Genetics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Fulgent Genetics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Fulgent Genetics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Fulgent Genetics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Fulgent Genetics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Fulgent Genetics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Fulgent Genetics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fulgent Genetics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Fulgent Genetics to competition
FundamentalsFulgent GeneticsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0387-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0376-0.14
Profit Margin(0.15) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.21) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation276.62 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding30.87 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders32.75 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions56.50 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.3 M4.71 M
Price To Earning3.95 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.46 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.86 X11.42 X
Revenue283.47 M9.43 B
Gross Profit107.22 M27.38 B
EBITDA(73.92 M)3.9 B
Net Income(43.82 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents515.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share17.03 X5.01 X
Total Debt412 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio5.29 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share36.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations21.06 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.54 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.41) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.32 X4.89 X
Target Price20.0
Number Of Employees1.31 K18.84 K
Beta1.54-0.15
Market Capitalization526.26 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.22 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings590.47 M9.33 B
Working Capital280.67 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1636 shares by Gao Hanlin of Fulgent Genetics at 16.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Fulgent Genetics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fulgent . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Fulgent Genetics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Fulgent Genetics? Buying financial instruments such as Fulgent Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Fulgent Genetics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for Fulgent Stock Analysis

When running Fulgent Genetics' price analysis, check to measure Fulgent Genetics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fulgent Genetics is operating at the current time. Most of Fulgent Genetics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fulgent Genetics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fulgent Genetics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fulgent Genetics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.