National Beverage Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FIZZ Stock | USD 49.60 0.73 1.49% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding National Beverage Corp is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell National Beverage Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards National Beverage. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for National Beverage Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out National Beverage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as National and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards National Beverage Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
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Execute National Beverage Buy or Sell Advice
The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National Beverage Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National Beverage Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National Beverage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
National Beverage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First National Financial Sets New 12-Month High Heres What Happened |
National Beverage Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of National Beverage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of National Beverage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National Beverage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National Beverage Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National Beverage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National Beverage.
| Mean Return | 0.11 | Value At Risk | -1.89 | Potential Upside | 2.21 | Standard Deviation | 1.28 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National Beverage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
National Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as National Beverage, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Beverage Corp back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 231.5 K | Envestnet Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 224.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 218.8 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 216.4 K | Rk Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 198 K | Hpm Partners Llc | 2024-06-30 | 176.6 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 174.6 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 159.9 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-09-30 | 147.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.9 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 3.5 M |
National Beverage Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 7.2M | (8.0M) | (31.8M) | 9.7M | 9.0M | (858K) | |
| Change In Cash | 148.3M | (110.9M) | (145.5M) | 110.0M | 169.0M | 32.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 153.8M | 168.5M | 104.1M | 139.7M | 167.6M | 29.2M | |
| Depreciation | 30.6M | 31.2M | 31.8M | 33.3M | 20.2M | 11.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 206K | 114K | (7K) | 141K | 14.1M | 405K | |
| Dividends Paid | 69.9M | 135.2M | 279.9M | 280.0M | 0.0 | 36.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 23.9M | 25.3M | 29.0M | 22.0M | 30.3M | 6.7M | |
| Net Income | 130.0M | 174.1M | 158.5M | 142.2M | 176.7M | 24.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 304.5M | 193.6M | 48.1M | 158.1M | 327.0M | 84.1M | |
| Change Receivables | (13.0M) | (481K) | (80K) | (11.3M) | (10.2M) | (9.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 342K | 444K | 6.0M | (3K) | (3.5K) | (3.3K) | |
| Investments | (23.9M) | (25.3M) | (29.0M) | (22.0M) | (30.2M) | (31.8M) |
National Beverage Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National Beverage or Beverages sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National Beverage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
National Beverage Volatility Alert
National Beverage Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.51 and kurtosis of 1.52. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National Beverage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National Beverage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.National Beverage Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing National Beverage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National Beverage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National Beverage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National Beverage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National Beverage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Beverage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare National Beverage to competition |
| Fundamentals | National Beverage | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.5 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.24 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.21 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.62 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 93.61 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 74.74 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 24.58 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.78 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 27.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 15.16 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.19 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 396.79 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 238.67 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 176.73 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 56.06 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.60 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 54.77 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.92 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.33 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 197.91 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 21.62 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.97 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 4.02 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 45.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.56 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.8 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.57 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 770.15 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 535.08 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 398.94 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Joseph Caporella of 42000 shares of National Beverage at 1.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
National Beverage Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About National Beverage Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell National Beverage Corp? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for National Stock Analysis
When running National Beverage's price analysis, check to measure National Beverage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Beverage is operating at the current time. Most of National Beverage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Beverage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Beverage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Beverage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.