First Community Bancshares Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FCBC Stock  USD 39.49  2.20  5.28%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding First Community Bancshares is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides First Community buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FCBC positions.
  
Check out First Community Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as First and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards First Community Bancshares. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute First Community Buy or Sell Advice

The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First Community Bancshares. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First Community Bancshares or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First Community's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell First CommunityBuy First Community
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon First Community Bancshares has a Mean Deviation of 1.37, Standard Deviation of 1.85 and Variance of 3.43
First Community advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts reviewing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure First Community is not overpriced, please confirm all First Community Banc fundamentals, including its price to earning, gross profit, cash per share, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and net income . Given that First Community Banc has a number of shares shorted of 99.44 K, we urge you to verify First Community Bancshares market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

First Community Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

First Community Banc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Top Dividend Stocks For February 2025

First Community Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of First Community's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First Community's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First Community daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First Community Bancshares price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First Community returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First Community.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-2.98
Potential Upside
3.00
Standard Deviation
1.85
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First Community historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

First Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
71.6 K
Panagora Asset Management Inc2024-12-31
63.4 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
52.2 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
51.5 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
43.5 K
Sheets Smith Wealth Management2024-12-31
43.2 K
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp2024-12-31
37.4 K
Davenport & Company Llc2024-12-31
34.8 K
Barclays Plc2024-12-31
33.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
1.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
947.8 K
Note, although First Community's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

First Community Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash239.6M220.9M(506.6M)(54.4M)(49.0M)(46.5M)
Free Cash Flow42.6M45.2M57.9M59.1M67.9M38.1M
Depreciation5.9M5.9M5.6M5.7M6.5M5.0M
Other Non Cash Items(6.0M)(4.4M)1.7M2.7M3.1M2.9M
Dividends Paid17.9M18.1M18.5M21.1M24.3M12.6M
Capital Expenditures3.2M3.0M1.2M2.8M2.5M3.2M
Net Income35.9M51.2M46.7M48.0M55.2M58.0M
End Period Cash Flow456.6M677.4M170.8M116.4M133.9M136.9M
Investments16.2M33.7M(480.4M)288.7M259.8M272.8M
Net Borrowings(27.8M)(677K)572K338K388.7K408.1K
Change To Netincome13.6M8.7M(5.2M)9.0M8.1M9.0M

First Community Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Community or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Community's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
2.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

First Community Volatility Alert

First Community Bancshares exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.48 and kurtosis of 2.44. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Community's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Community's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

First Community Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing First Community's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First Community's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First Community and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First Community or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First Community's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Community by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare First Community to competition
FundamentalsFirst CommunityPeer Average
Return On Equity0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0158-0.14
Profit Margin0.32 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.43 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation352.66 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding18.32 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders15.83 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions36.84 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted99.44 K4.71 M
Price To Earning15.50 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.45 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.49 X11.42 X
Revenue137.16 M9.43 B
Gross Profit162.26 M27.38 B
EBITDA1.73 M3.9 B
Net Income48.02 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents229.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share14.08 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.74 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity6.18 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share28.73 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations61.83 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.67 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.67 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.70 X4.89 X
Target Price46.0
Beta0.53-0.15
Market Capitalization729.21 M19.03 B
Total Asset3.27 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings319.9 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return3.26 %
Net Asset3.27 B
Note: Disposition of 816 shares by Derek Bonnett of First Community at 24.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

First Community Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About First Community Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell First Community Bancshares? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having First Community in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Large Blend Funds Thematic Idea Now

Large Blend Funds
Large Blend Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in stocks of large organizations that have characteristics of both growth and value companies. The Large Blend Funds theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Blend Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether First Community Banc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Community's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Community Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Community Bancshares Stock:
Check out First Community Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Community. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Community listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.116
Dividend Share
1.2
Earnings Share
2.67
Revenue Per Share
8.843
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of First Community Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Community's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Community's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Community's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Community's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Community's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Community is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Community's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.