Evolution Petroleum Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| EPM Stock | USD 5.80 0.06 1.05% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Evolution Petroleum is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Evolution Petroleum's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Evolution Petroleum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Evolution Stock, please use our How to Invest in Evolution Petroleum guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Evolution and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Evolution Petroleum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Evolution |
Execute Evolution Petroleum Buy or Sell Advice
The Evolution recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Evolution Petroleum. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Evolution Petroleum or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Evolution Petroleum's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Evolution Petroleum Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Evolution Petroleum has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call Evolution Petroleum reports strong growth in Q1 2025 |
Evolution Petroleum Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Evolution Petroleum's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Evolution Petroleum's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Evolution Petroleum daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Evolution Petroleum price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Evolution Petroleum returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Evolution Petroleum.
| Mean Return | 0.25 | Value At Risk | -3.2 | Potential Upside | 3.99 | Standard Deviation | 2.85 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Evolution Petroleum historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Evolution Petroleum Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (773.8B) | 2.0T | 6.6T | (18.4M) | (21.2M) | (20.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | (11.9M) | (14.4M) | 3.0M | 2.8M | (4.6M) | (4.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.3M | (14.0M) | (2.4M) | 44.3M | (26.9M) | (25.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 7.1M | 30.7M | 8.1M | 11.4M | 20.1M | 19.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 756.3K | (2.9M) | 2.9M | (178K) | 940K | 987K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 11.1M | 18.8M | 54.9M | 7.0M | 49.6M | 52.1M | |
| Net Income | 5.9M | (16.4M) | 32.6M | 35.2M | 4.1M | 5.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 19.7M | 5.3M | 8.3M | 11.0M | 6.4M | 12.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.4M | 18.8M | 4.2M | (1.7M) | (2.0M) | (1.9M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 10.7M | 4.3M | 11.8M | 16.1M | 16.0M | 10.3M | |
| Investments | (11.1M) | (18.8M) | (54.9M) | (7.0M) | (49.6M) | (47.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | 773.8K | (2.0M) | (6.6M) | (11.4M) | (10.3M) | (9.8M) |
Evolution Petroleum Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Evolution Petroleum or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Evolution Petroleum's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Evolution stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Evolution Petroleum Volatility Alert
Evolution Petroleum has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.79 and kurtosis of 14.65. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Evolution Petroleum's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Evolution Petroleum's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Evolution Petroleum Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Evolution Petroleum's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Evolution Petroleum's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Evolution Petroleum and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Evolution Petroleum or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Evolution Petroleum's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Evolution Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Evolution Petroleum to competition |
| Fundamentals | Evolution Petroleum | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0551 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0425 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 225.54 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 33.6 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.97 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 56.36 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 871.13 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.06 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.42 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.21 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 85.88 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 68.97 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 27.97 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 4.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 11.03 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.25 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 39.66 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.28 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.20 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.42 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 22.73 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.99 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.14 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 7.63 | |
| Number Of Employees | 11 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.86 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 192.84 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 162.88 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 40 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 5.91 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 37.09 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 7671 shares by Ryan Stash of Evolution Petroleum at 5.91 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Evolution Petroleum Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Evolution . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Evolution Petroleum Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Evolution Petroleum? Buying financial instruments such as Evolution Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Evolution Petroleum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Evolution Stock, please use our How to Invest in Evolution Petroleum guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolution Petroleum. If investors know Evolution will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Evolution Petroleum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 0.14 | Revenue Per Share 2.665 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of Evolution Petroleum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolution that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolution Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolution Petroleum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Evolution Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolution Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Evolution Petroleum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Evolution Petroleum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evolution Petroleum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.