Ellington Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| EFC Stock | USD 13.40 0.30 2.29% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ellington Financial is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Ellington Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EFC positions.
Check out Ellington Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Ellington Stock refer to our How to Trade Ellington Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ellington and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ellington Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Ellington |
Execute Ellington Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The Ellington recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ellington Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ellington Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ellington Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Ellington Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ellington Financial has about 217.05 M in cash with (430.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.09. | |
| Ellington Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 25th of February 2025 Ellington Financial paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Has The Bank of East Asia Outpaced Other Finance Stocks This Year |
Ellington Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ellington Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ellington Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ellington Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ellington Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ellington Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ellington Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.19 | Value At Risk | -1.88 | Potential Upside | 1.46 | Standard Deviation | 1.50 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ellington Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ellington Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Jacobs Asset Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 127 K |
Ellington Financial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 39.3M | (19.0M) | 129.0M | 8.7M | (21.6M) | (20.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 150.2M | 224.1M | 42.7M | (241.9M) | (430.5M) | (409.0M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 76.6M | (33.9M) | 179.1M | (126.5M) | (578.6M) | (549.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 65.0M | 85.7M | 123.1M | 149.3M | 163.5M | 171.7M | |
| Net Income | 28.4M | 140.6M | (70.9M) | 84.1M | 148.1M | 155.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 111.8M | 92.8M | 221.9M | 230.5M | 208.9M | 126.7M | |
| Depreciation | 46.2M | (48.1M) | 32.6M | 25.1M | 28.8M | 30.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | (5.3M) | 78.0M | 10.4M | 1.4M | 1.3M | 1.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | 188.1M | (613.2M) | 676.0M | 978.0M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Investments | 507.3M | (2.0B) | (1.8B) | (288.4M) | (728.3M) | (764.7M) |
Ellington Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ellington Financial or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ellington Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ellington stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Ellington Financial Volatility Alert
Ellington Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.7 and kurtosis of 17.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ellington Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ellington Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ellington Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ellington Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ellington Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ellington Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ellington Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ellington Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ellington Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ellington Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ellington Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0947 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0094 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.48 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.52 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 15.14 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 90.68 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.59 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 57.25 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.34 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 35.91 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.96 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.01 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 282.19 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 303.23 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 323.48 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 148.1 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 217.05 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.09 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 14.73 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 3.78 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.46 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (430.53 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.73 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.36 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.86 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 14.21 | |
| Number Of Employees | 400 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.99 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.22 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 16.32 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (375.11 M) | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.12 % |
Note: Disposition of 8378 shares by Lisa Mumford of Ellington Financial subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ellington Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ellington . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Ellington Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ellington Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Ellington Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Printing and Publishing
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Check out Ellington Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Ellington Stock refer to our How to Trade Ellington Stock guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ellington Financial. If investors know Ellington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ellington Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.41 | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 1.36 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.225 |
The market value of Ellington Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ellington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ellington Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ellington Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ellington Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ellington Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ellington Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ellington Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ellington Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.