Emergent Biosolutions Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EBS Stock  USD 9.72  0.22  2.32%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Emergent Biosolutions is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Emergent Biosolutions given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Emergent Biosolutions, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Emergent Biosolutions Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Emergent Stock please use our How to Invest in Emergent Biosolutions guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Emergent and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Emergent Biosolutions. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Emergent Biosolutions Buy or Sell Advice

The Emergent recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Emergent Biosolutions. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Emergent Biosolutions or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Emergent Biosolutions' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Emergent BiosolutionsBuy Emergent Biosolutions
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Emergent Biosolutions has a Mean Deviation of 3.34, Standard Deviation of 4.62 and Variance of 21.38
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Emergent Biosolutions. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Emergent Biosolutions is not overpriced, please confirm all Emergent Biosolutions fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Emergent Biosolutions has a price to earning of 1.67 X, we urge you to verify Emergent Biosolutions market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Emergent Biosolutions Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Emergent Biosolutions had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.05 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (760.5 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.1 M.
Emergent Biosolutions has about 642.6 M in cash with (206.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.28.
Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from washingtonexaminer.com: Emergent Biosolutions spent 575K lobbying in 3Q

Emergent Biosolutions Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Emergent Biosolutions' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Emergent Biosolutions' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Emergent Biosolutions daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Emergent Biosolutions price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Emergent Biosolutions returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Emergent Biosolutions.
Mean Return
-0.18
Value At Risk
-7.17
Potential Upside
7.38
Standard Deviation
4.62
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Emergent Biosolutions historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Emergent Stock Institutional Investors

The Emergent Biosolutions' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Emergent Biosolutions' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
900.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
810 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
771.1 K
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-12-31
766.5 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
743.2 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
582 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
575.5 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
524.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
447.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
3.2 M
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-09-30
2.5 M
Note, although Emergent Biosolutions' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Emergent Biosolutions Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(83.2M)(44M)(51.9M)600K540K567K
Change In Cash453.5M(45.2M)66.3M(530.9M)(477.8M)(453.9M)
Free Cash Flow395M96.1M(149.9M)(257.9M)(296.6M)(281.8M)
Depreciation114.5M123.8M143.3M125.1M143.9M151.1M
Other Non Cash Items59M33.5M19.8M485.2M558.0M585.9M
Capital Expenditures141M225M115.8M51.6M59.3M67.9M
Net Income305.1M230.9M(223.8M)(760.5M)(684.5M)(650.2M)
End Period Cash Flow621.5M576.3M642.6M111.7M128.5M238.1M
Change To Netincome62.2M104.1M118.7M41.8M48.1M44.4M
Change Receivables(8.2M)49M(48.2M)114.7M131.9M138.5M
Net Borrowings13.7M54.5M(35.9M)564.2M648.8M681.3M
Investments(151M)(225M)(381.3M)178.3M205.0M215.3M

Emergent Biosolutions Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Emergent Biosolutions or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Emergent Biosolutions' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Emergent stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
3.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Emergent Biosolutions Volatility Alert

Emergent Biosolutions exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.32 and kurtosis of 2.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Emergent Biosolutions' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Emergent Biosolutions' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Emergent Biosolutions Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Emergent Biosolutions' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Emergent Biosolutions' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Emergent Biosolutions and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Emergent Biosolutions or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Emergent Biosolutions' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Emergent Biosolutions by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Emergent Biosolutions to competition
FundamentalsEmergent BiosolutionsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.35-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0422-0.14
Profit Margin(0.19) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.25 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.04 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding54.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.15 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions57.78 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.95 M4.71 M
Price To Earning1.67 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.04 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.47 X11.42 X
Revenue1.05 B9.43 B
Gross Profit290.1 M27.38 B
EBITDA(505.3 M)3.9 B
Net Income(760.5 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents642.6 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.28 X5.01 X
Total Debt860.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.56 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.92 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(206.3 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio5.21 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(11.22) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.55 X4.89 X
Target Price12.0
Number Of Employees1.6 K18.84 K
Beta1.57-0.15
Market Capitalization540.22 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.82 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(21.8 M)9.33 B
Working Capital28.2 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 918 shares by Jessica Perl of Emergent Biosolutions at 10.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Emergent Biosolutions Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Emergent . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Emergent Biosolutions Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Emergent Biosolutions? Buying financial instruments such as Emergent Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Emergent Biosolutions in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Information Technology ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Information Technology ETFs
Information Technology ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Information Technology ETFs theme has 51 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Information Technology ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Tools for Emergent Stock Analysis

When running Emergent Biosolutions' price analysis, check to measure Emergent Biosolutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Emergent Biosolutions is operating at the current time. Most of Emergent Biosolutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Emergent Biosolutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Emergent Biosolutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Emergent Biosolutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.