Brinker International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EAT Stock  USD 155.83  2.76  1.80%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Brinker International is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Brinker International given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Brinker International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Brinker International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Brinker Stock please use our How to Invest in Brinker International guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Brinker and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Brinker International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Brinker International Buy or Sell Advice

The Brinker recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Brinker International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Brinker International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Brinker International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Brinker InternationalBuy Brinker International
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Brinker International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1073, Jensen Alpha of 0.451, Total Risk Alpha of 0.4685, Sortino Ratio of 0.1731 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4573
Macroaxis provides advice on Brinker International to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Brinker International. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Brinker International is not overpriced, please confirm all Brinker International fundamentals, including its total debt, beta, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Brinker International has a price to earning of 218.93 X, we suggest you to validate Brinker International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Brinker International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Brinker International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Brinker International has 2 B in debt. Brinker International has a current ratio of 0.35, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Brinker to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of Brinker Internationals Recent Growth In Returns

Brinker International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Brinker International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Brinker International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Brinker International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Brinker International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Brinker International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Brinker International.
Mean Return
0.46
Value At Risk
-4.85
Potential Upside
5.45
Standard Deviation
3.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Brinker International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Brinker Stock Institutional Investors

The Brinker International's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Brinker International's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
920.7 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
782 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
657.3 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
626.7 K
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
622.9 K
Hennessy Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
619 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
612.6 K
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-12-31
588.6 K
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
537.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
7.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
5.1 M
Note, although Brinker International's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Brinker International Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(3.2M)(7.1M)(1.1M)(1.5M)(1.4M)(1.4M)
Change In Cash(20M)(10.4M)1.6M49.5M44.5M46.8M
Free Cash Flow275.7M101.9M71.4M223M256.5M269.3M
Depreciation150.2M164.4M168.5M170.8M196.4M133.2M
Other Non Cash Items13.5M38.4M28.5M35M40.3M31.8M
Capital Expenditures94M150.3M184.9M198.9M179.0M140.1M
Net Income131.6M117.6M102.6M155.3M178.6M124.4M
End Period Cash Flow23.9M13.5M15.1M64.6M74.3M54.0M
Dividends Paid1.5M1.1M600K(200K)(180K)(171K)
Change To Netincome56.3M31.7M33.6M12M13.8M13.1M
Investments(90.9M)(234.2M)(174.2M)(192.2M)(173.0M)(164.3M)
Net Borrowings(53.6M)(321.6M)96.9M(87.4M)(78.7M)(74.7M)

Brinker International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Brinker International or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Brinker International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Brinker stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
3.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Brinker International Volatility Alert

Brinker International currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.45. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Brinker International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Brinker International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Brinker International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Brinker International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Brinker International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Brinker International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Brinker International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Brinker International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brinker International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Brinker International to competition
FundamentalsBrinker InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.24-0.31
Return On Asset0.1-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.27 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding44.41 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.53 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.47 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.39 M4.71 M
Price To Earning218.93 X28.72 X
Price To Book48.92 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.41 X11.42 X
Revenue4.42 B9.43 B
Gross Profit794.6 M27.38 B
EBITDA400.7 M3.9 B
Net Income155.3 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents15.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt2 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity(7.90) %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.36 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.96 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations421.9 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.42 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.75 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.11 X4.89 X
Target Price183.06
Number Of Employees68.85 K18.84 K
Beta2.56-0.15
Market Capitalization6.8 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.59 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(196.6 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(388.2 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1279 shares by Dominique Bertolone of Brinker International at 128.2 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Brinker International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Brinker . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Brinker International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Brinker International? Buying financial instruments such as Brinker Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Brinker Stock Analysis

When running Brinker International's price analysis, check to measure Brinker International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brinker International is operating at the current time. Most of Brinker International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brinker International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brinker International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brinker International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.