Ellington Residential Mortgage Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| EARN Stock | USD 5.82 0.08 1.36% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ellington Residential Mortgage is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Ellington Residential's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Ellington Residential Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ellington and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ellington Residential Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Ellington |
Execute Ellington Residential Buy or Sell Advice
The Ellington recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ellington Residential Mortgage. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ellington Residential Mortgage or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ellington Residential's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Ellington Residential Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ellington Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ellington Residential has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ellington Residential Mortgage currently holds 729.54 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.04, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ellington Residential has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ellington Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Ellington Residential Mortgage currently holds about 83 M in cash with (10.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.35, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| On 25th of February 2025 Ellington Residential paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Ellington Residential Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ellington Residential's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ellington Residential's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ellington Residential daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ellington Residential Mortgage price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ellington Residential returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ellington Residential.
| Mean Return | -0.18 | Value At Risk | -2.1 | Potential Upside | 1.55 | Standard Deviation | 1.14 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ellington Residential historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ellington Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Ellington Residential, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ellington Residential Mortgage back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 115.7 K | Qube Research & Technologies | 2024-12-31 | 112.6 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 109.6 K | 683 Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 108.5 K | State Street Corp | 2024-12-31 | 97.8 K | Omers Administration Corp | 2024-12-31 | 91.4 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 90.9 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 81 K | Thrivent Financial For Lutherans | 2024-12-31 | 79.5 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M |
Ellington Residential Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 22.8M | 10.9M | (34.2M) | 3.7M | 3.3M | 6.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 24.4M | 27.9M | 22.4M | (10.0M) | (9.0M) | (8.6M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 5.7M | 33.7M | 45.3M | (11.9M) | (10.7M) | (10.2M) | |
| Net Income | 20.1M | (6.3M) | (30.2M) | 4.6M | 4.1M | 2.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 58.2M | 69.0M | 34.8M | 38.5M | 34.7M | 36.8M | |
| Investments | 317.6M | 99.9M | (53.1M) | 120.8M | 139.0M | 145.9M | |
| Change Receivables | 591K | 902K | (390K) | 1.2M | 1.4M | 1.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | (185.3M) | (281.0M) | 49.6M | (222.4M) | (200.1M) | (190.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 14.9M | 14.3M | 7.5M | 2.3M | 2.6M | 2.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 13.8M | 17.3M | 13.9M | 14.1M | 16.2M | 17.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | (57.7M) | 5.9M | 23.9M | 94.6M | 108.7M | 114.2M |
Ellington Residential Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ellington Residential or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ellington Residential's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ellington stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Ellington Residential Volatility Alert
Ellington Residential Mortgage exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.64 and kurtosis of 1.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ellington Residential's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ellington Residential's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ellington Residential Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ellington Residential's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ellington Residential's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ellington Residential and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ellington Residential or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ellington Residential's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ellington Residential by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ellington Residential to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ellington Residential | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0232 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | 1.21 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 598.88 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 29.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.67 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 24.24 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 767.29 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.40 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.88 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 8.92 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | (65 K) | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (15.58 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 49.81 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 4.56 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 83 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.35 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 729.54 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 8.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.17 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.85 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (10.02 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.00 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.28 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.79) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 7.25 | |
| Beta | 2.0 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 169.81 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 945.69 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (138.65 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.19 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 131.7 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 1.32 B | 7.9 B |
Note: Disposition of 2845 shares by J Herlihy of Ellington Residential at 6.83 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ellington Residential Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ellington . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Ellington Residential Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ellington Residential Mortgage? Buying financial instruments such as Ellington Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Ellington Residential Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ellington Residential. If investors know Ellington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ellington Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.185 | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.78) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Ellington Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ellington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ellington Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ellington Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ellington Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ellington Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ellington Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ellington Residential is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ellington Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.