Dynavax Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DVAX Stock  USD 12.86  0.05  0.39%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Dynavax Technologies is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Dynavax Technologies given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Dynavax Technologies. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Dynavax Technologies, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Dynavax Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Dynavax Stock please use our How to Invest in Dynavax Technologies guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dynavax and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Dynavax Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Dynavax Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

The Dynavax recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dynavax Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dynavax Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dynavax Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Dynavax TechnologiesBuy Dynavax Technologies
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Dynavax Technologies has a Mean Deviation of 1.74, Semi Deviation of 2.16, Standard Deviation of 2.44, Variance of 5.96, Downside Variance of 5.6 and Semi Variance of 4.67
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Dynavax Technologies and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Dynavax Technologies is not overpriced, please confirm all Dynavax Technologies fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Dynavax Technologies has a number of shares shorted of 21 M, we urge you to verify Dynavax Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Dynavax Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 232.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 448.22 M.
Dynavax Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Does Dynavax Technologies Have the Potential to Rally 93.52 percent as Wall Street Analysts Expect

Dynavax Technologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Dynavax Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dynavax Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dynavax Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dynavax Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dynavax Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dynavax Technologies.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-2.93
Potential Upside
3.69
Standard Deviation
2.44
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dynavax Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Dynavax Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Dynavax Technologies, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dynavax Technologies back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Great Point Partners Llc2024-06-30
2.4 M
Blair William & Co2024-06-30
2.4 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
2.3 M
Tang Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
1.9 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
1.6 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
1.4 M
Mizuho Markets Americas Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
21.9 M
Deep Track Capital, Lp2024-09-30
12.5 M
Note, although Dynavax Technologies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Dynavax Technologies Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures29.4M11.1M9.5M7.1M4.1M5.4M
End Period Cash Flow40.1M32.3M436.4M202.2M150.6M158.1M
Change In Cash(9.9M)(7.8M)404.1M(234.2M)(51.7M)(49.1M)
Free Cash Flow(150.7M)(103.3M)326.1M55.6M96.5M101.3M
Depreciation21.5M9.3M7.0M6.7M7.3M4.9M
Other Non Cash Items12.0M3.7M1.6M(33.4M)1.1M770K
Net Income(152.6M)(75.2M)76.7M293.2M(6.4M)(6.7M)
Change To Inventory(22.3M)(22.4M)(234K)(32.4M)3.9M4.1M
Investments(13.4M)(22.3M)22.7M(309.9M)(166.7M)(158.3M)
Change Receivables(5.2M)(13.8M)(109.2M)(15.7M)(14.1M)(14.8M)
Change To Netincome44.9M6.1M79.6M65.5M75.3M79.1M

Dynavax Technologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dynavax Technologies or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dynavax Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dynavax stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Dynavax Technologies Volatility Alert

Dynavax Technologies currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dynavax Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dynavax Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Dynavax Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Dynavax Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dynavax Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dynavax Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dynavax Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dynavax Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dynavax Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Dynavax Technologies to competition
FundamentalsDynavax TechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0318-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0038-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.18 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding131.46 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.33 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.67 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted21 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.95 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.49 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.48 X11.42 X
Revenue232.28 M9.43 B
Gross Profit448.22 M27.38 B
EBITDA9.67 M3.9 B
Net Income(6.39 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents518.17 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt256.91 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.61 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.77 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.19 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations100.56 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.76 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.15 X3.12 X
Target Price24.6
Number Of Employees40818.84 K
Beta1.34-0.15
Market Capitalization1.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset997.1 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(930.58 M)9.33 B
Working Capital796.92 M1.48 B
Current Asset199.95 M9.34 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Dynavax Technologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dynavax . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Dynavax Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Dynavax Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Dynavax Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Dynavax Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Broad Commodities ETFs
Broad Commodities ETFs Theme
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Additional Tools for Dynavax Stock Analysis

When running Dynavax Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Dynavax Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dynavax Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Dynavax Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dynavax Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dynavax Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dynavax Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.