Dollarama Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DOL Stock  CAD 145.84  1.06  0.73%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Dollarama is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Dollarama's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Dollarama Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dollarama and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Dollarama. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Dollarama Buy or Sell Advice

The Dollarama recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dollarama. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dollarama or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dollarama's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell DollaramaBuy Dollarama
Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Dollarama has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0614, Jensen Alpha of 0.0493, Total Risk Alpha of (0.15), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.244
Macroaxis provides advice on Dollarama to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Dollarama. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Dollarama is not overpriced, please confirm all Dollarama fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the revenue and book value per share .

Dollarama Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Dollarama has accumulated 4.33 B in total debt. Dollarama has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dollarama until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dollarama's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dollarama sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dollarama to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dollarama's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Dollarama Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Dollarama's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dollarama's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dollarama daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dollarama price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dollarama returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dollarama.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-2.3
Potential Upside
2.25
Standard Deviation
1.54
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dollarama historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Dollarama Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(42.3M)(7.2M)39.7M(366.2M)40.4M42.4M
Change In Cash40.1M348.7M(368.1M)30.2M212.7M223.3M
Free Cash Flow591.9M721.2M906.4M712.2M1.3B1.3B
Depreciation242.8M269.6M298.0M331.8M365.4M383.7M
Other Non Cash Items(10.4M)(22.5M)(33.5M)79.9M(1.2M)(1.2M)
Capital Expenditures140.6M167.8M159.5M156.8M278.8M292.7M
Net Income564.0M564.3M663.2M801.9M1.0B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow90.5M439.1M71.1M101.3M313.9M329.6M
Dividends Paid54.1M54.8M60.5M63.0M76.1M52.9M
Net Borrowings(152.7M)(163.8M)(169.9M)118.5M106.6M88.6M
Change To Netincome21.0M7.4M(3.1M)(7.7M)(8.8M)(9.2M)
Investments(199.3M)(97.3M)(158.7M)(156.5M)(250.9M)(263.4M)

Dollarama Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dollarama or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dollarama's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dollarama stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Dollarama Volatility Alert

Dollarama has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.02 and kurtosis of 10.96. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dollarama's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dollarama's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Dollarama Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Dollarama's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dollarama's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dollarama and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dollarama or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dollarama's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dollarama by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Dollarama to competition
FundamentalsDollaramaPeer Average
Return On Equity1.56-0.31
Return On Asset0.17-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.26 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation45.46 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding281.78 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.23 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions44.98 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.72 M4.71 M
Price To Earning27.29 X28.72 X
Price To Book34.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.75 X11.42 X
Revenue5.87 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.35 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.81 B3.9 B
Net Income1.01 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents218.36 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.70 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.33 B5.32 B
Current Ratio0.54 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.21 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.43 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.34 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.86 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.86 X4.89 X
Target Price141.75
Beta0.54-0.15
Market Capitalization41.09 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.84 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(226.55 M)9.33 B
Working Capital631.25 M1.48 B
Current Asset616.93 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities227.03 M7.9 B

Dollarama Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dollarama . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Dollarama Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Dollarama? Buying financial instruments such as Dollarama Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Dollarama in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Munis Funds Thematic Idea Now

Munis Funds
Munis Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by states, cities, and towns as well as other public entities. The Munis Funds theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Munis Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Dollarama Stock

Dollarama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dollarama Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dollarama with respect to the benefits of owning Dollarama security.